hermes_trisme

hermes_trisme Updated 

ZS is trying to reverse downtrend. Bearish upthrust has been weakening over the last two weeks and price has already set daily higher low on the pre-market. For reversal to happen bulls must protect 192.5 and build value above 196. If the reversal happens it will probably not to last long as we're in a monthly consolidation. But it still can provide some nice...

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hermes_trisme Updated 

At the start of last week, things didn’t look great for the bulls. There were several signs of weakness that could have easily led to a daily trend reversal. However, that didn’t materialize. Firstly, on Monday, buyers were able to set a daily higher low. Then, on Wednesday, they positioned the price very close to the previous two weeks' high. Finally, with the...

hermes_trisme Updated 

Last week began with a display of strong conviction from buyers, propelling price upwards towards the previous high (516.5). They managed to surpass it by a small margin, establishing a new historical high at 517.1. Unfortunately, bulls were unable to sustain momentum and build a new value zone, allowing bears to regain control and push price back towards the...

hermes_trisme Updated 

NASDAQ:ZS has been very "bearish" for almost month but we're still in a monthly uptrend. At the same time there are bearish exhaustion signs: weekly bearish upthrust has diminished, and value area has been overlapping for the last three days. This creates opportunity to capture possible short-squeeze. It is a high risk trade given the context but upside can be...

hermes_trisme Updated 

NASDAQ:QQQ has shaped Head-and-Shoulders formation on the daily chart. Daily downtrend confirmed, weekly consolidation has started. Please note that broad SP500 market is still technically in an uptrend, meaning that buyers are still strong. So if you plan entering SHORT on QQQ I would wait for a pullback to increase risk-reward. An example of possible trade is...

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hermes_trisme

In this video I explain how to indentify trends on the chart and how to use this knowledge to make trading decisions. At the end of the video we'll create a simple yet profitable trading strategy Waves Light indicator: Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advices, just sharing my thoughts

hermes_trisme Updated 

The last week kicked off with bears challenging the previous week's low (505), coming close to success. Bulls stepped in, mounting a strong defense and steering prices back to a historical high. It might have been a convincing victory if only they could have sustained it until Friday's closure, but that didn't materialize. Friday concluded on a bearish note,...

hermes_trisme

Put together information on what is happening in major S&P sectors Majority of sectors are strong on the daily chart. There are some short-term problems on lower timeframe but they can be overcome. This is good for buyers as it shows that money is not leaving the market but moving from one sector to another. A lot will depend on tech bulls. XLK must clear 212...

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There is an ongoing discussion within the trading community about which tool is better for analyzing market behavior: Market Profile (MP) or Volume Profile (VP). The former was popularized by Jim Dalton in his book "Mind Over Markets," while the latter has many advocates as well, including Peter Reznicek (aka ShadowTrader). With the release of the new "Time Price...

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Bulls have finished last week with a spectacular rally. It was quite clear that they were taking some rest before a run but even I was surprised by their Friday achievements (see ) The outlook for this week is easily defined: BULLS, BULLS, BULLS. The daily chart looks great (daily uptrend, new high), there is absolutely no warning signals on lower timeframe (last...

hermes_trisme Updated 

Interesting setup on NASDAQ:TSLA Price was bracketing for the last four days. The high level context is certainly bullish (daily uptrend, strong market) but bulls met strong resistance as they tried to close gap from January 24th. Two possible ways to play it LONG: either from range bottom with profit target at range high and above; or wait for bullish...

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Price overextension remains a widely misunderstood concept in trading, causing both novice and seasoned traders to make errors in their decision-making. This misinterpretation often leads to placing trades in the wrong direction or, equally detrimental, overlooking profitable opportunities. In essence, price overextension signifies that the market has undergone a...

hermes_trisme Updated 

After a spectacular rally last week market bulls are taking a pause. Last two days look quite bearish on the daily chart but if we look at lower timeframes we won't see any signs of strong selling. Price is drifting down very slowly as a result of profit taking and low initiative from buyers. The high level context is still very bullish: we're in an uptrend,...

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Trading on multiple timeframes can significantly improve your risk-reward ratio, regardless of what TA technique, you are using. Let’s look at the recent example (SPY ETF) Third week of February started with a strong sell-off (Monday-Tuesday 13th). Price retraced >50% of the previous move, signaling potential trend reversal. At this point market Bears started...

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Yesterday, bulls regained full control over broad market, not just managing to set daily higher low but doing it spectacularly. With no historical resistance above it is impossible to say when this rally will end. Any short trade should be discouraged until there are some clear signs of reversal. Bulls, who missed the move, can look for 15m/1h consolidations for...

hermes_trisme Updated 

Great hourly double bottom shaped yesterday on Netflix chart. The context looks good: we are in the correction wave on daily with retracement ~50%. Broad market also recovered yetserday and looks strong. I'll be defintely watching reaction near 586 level, where strong sell-off occured on Tuesday, with a goal to enter on the next hourly higher low

hermes_trisme Updated 

Developing triangle on SPY. The context doesn't provide much clue which direction it will resolve. We have clear trend reversal signs on daily chart (Lower high is set) but weekly consolidation has not yet started so there is still opporunity for bulls to set daily higher low. Adding to bearish side is slightly unfilled gap from Tuesday. But this is very minor...

hermes_trisme Updated 

On Friday QQQ set daily lower high, marking potential trend reversal. Now bears must lead price all the way down (below 425.3) to start weekly consolidation. If this doesn't happen fast and bulls manage to set daily higher low then uptrend continuation is still an option. Also notable that bulls were able to close price gap from Tuesday, and bull wave retracement...