In my previous ETH chart, I stated, “For my readers: I will state I have a bearish bias until I can determine the primary trendline will hold. I also feel that ETH wants to decouple from BTC for a short time. “
The Primary orange Dotted Trendline has held as support with recent candle price action demonstrating some downward probing wicks. There is no doubt the price action was inflated before the fork and now we are left to consolidating to lower prices. If the Primary Trend breaks my first recommendation is to consider the .382 Fib price of $127.54.
Always remember to DOLLAR COST AVERAGE into each trade; never chase your trades! If the .382 Fib level does not hold the next level to consider is the next lower High-Value Node price action between, $122.00 and $124.00 denoted by the lowest green trendline.
You should give consideration to the shrinking volatility in the recent candles (4hr) and declining volume. This could lead to a precipitous drop in price if we began to trade nearer the primary trendline.
What’s Biff doing?
ETH looks Bearish!
I am not a buyer at these levels -- when I am giving high probability to better pricing below. I can make an estimate that if we have a volatility move it will be around $14.00, which would put us near $120.00, or just below the high-volume node mentioned above. The same move can happen if we break out north with a predictive price of $152.00 or the Value Area High.
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Best,
Biff
Let me know if I made any mistakes? I work hard to give you guys free charting analysis!