this is haidojo and the number is 328 ...
A brief review of the whole June month, we could see that fcpo-Aug22 and fcpo-Sept22 were faced with a great fall or a heavy rollover all-the-way down frm RM6k ++ till yesterday, when the price had fallen below the RM4k borderline, a full 2000-pts ++ drop, marking the end of the era of RM4k, which started way back in July 2021, last year. As the hyperinflation has reared its ugly head again and threatening the whole economy of the planet, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) had made a drastic decision last night, by increasing the interest rate to 25 basis. Fcpo-sept22 hit the bottom at 3740 on 6th July 2022 after the announcement of hike in opr (overnight policy rate) by 25 basis to currently 2.25% by BNM, and most of the economists are expecting another increase of interest rate is imminent in September this year. So, folks, fasten your seat belts and ready for the roller-coaster ride!
As what is happening today, fcpo-sept22 is heading for a rebound and it is difficult to judge whether the rebound is authentic or juz a false one, which is well-known as the fake "bull-trap". Also, as I have seen most traders are putting their analysis on the boards, so I wanto put mine too...(hehe, juz "busy-body").
Here is what I think might happen or somethg to watch out. fcpo-sept22 will face first wave of selling at the resistance level at 4180 and if it falls frm here onwards, then we have bear confirmed...and no second thought on that. However, if it still seeks to rebound further passing that 1st resistance level at 4180, then we shall see some heavier sellers at the range of 4380-4480, the higher resistance level and also the critical ones, since if the price shoots higher frm this, THEN we might have a reversal..."bullish rotation" is said to be happening and we might wanto turn into buying/long. Till then, if the price is ransacked here and pull down making a rollover all the way down, THEN we shall still see it as a temporary rebound and BEAR still wins.
There is a bit of information overload today. Hence, you might want to get a hard look at this for a gud sense. That's all for the update today.
**plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck**
overhead resistance : 4074-4100 (happening now? wtf?)
resistance : 4180 (my expectation of 1st wave selling)
higher resistance : 4380-4480 (critical resistance, deciding Bull/Bear)
current support : 3880
lower support : 3480
WARNING!
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TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK!