All traders have noticed the change in the market behavior in 2022..! This a market like you never have seen before..! This is the second-worst start of the year for US equities in 123 years. For context, the -11.9% drop in the first 44 trading days in 2022 is only rivaled by the 1920 Great Depression and the Great Financial Crisis. (MacroAlf, Author of The...
In these charts, you can see the performance of Tesla, Lucid, NIO, and Rivian in 2022, which is -22%, -36%, -43%, and -59% respectively..! In the below analysis I added the Technical rating and Analysts ratings from the overview page of these tickers: My observations: 1- Technical rating show "Sell" for all 4 tickers! 2- Analyst ratings show Strong buy...
These days, your stocks create big gaps (usually down side) after earnings! Some People think this could be a good opportunity to enter a long position. but Is it really good to do that? My simple answer to this question is: No Why? Look at these examples in the past few months: FB: DOCU: PYPL: F: ZM: PINS: WISH: UPST: BABA: ...
What Is Volatility? Oxford Dictionary: Liability to change rapidly and unpredictably, especially for the worse. Finance: Volatility is the degree of variation of a trading price series over time, usually measured by the standard deviation of logarithmic returns. Historic volatility : measures a time series of past market prices. Volatility effects on...
What is more important than the trading results??? The strategy behind the trading/investment models..! After doing lots of research, I decided to combine Warren Buffet, George Soros, and Jim Simons's strategies to build my own trading system. So far I am happy with the results..! Why? Because I beat the market in the past 2 months by far..! In a bullish...
If you have an investment that has experienced a decrease in value significantly, and you decided to keep and sell at your entry price, please read this article it may help you to make a better decision. Before we go to the main educational point, keep in mind those who bought tech stocks at the market peak in 2000-2001, waited 15 years to get even..!...
Chart patterns detection needs an extensive learning process and experience, no matter if you are a human or a machine! Machine Learning Workflow: There are five core tasks in the common ML workflow: 1. Get Data 2. Clean, Prepare & Manipulate Data 3. Train Model 4. Test Model 5. Improve Since the chart patterns, beta version indicator has been released, I...
The goal of this article is to help the platform developers improve he final product..! Chart pattern beta is a new feature on the indicator menu. First let’s define what Beta version means: Beta version is an early version of a program or application that contains most of the major features, but is not yet complete. This is a very important key that needs...
This is my observation compared to the School chart article: As the name implies, the Bump and Run Reversal (BARR) is a reversal pattern that forms after excessive speculation drives prices up too far, too fast. Developed by Thomas Bulkowski. Bulkowski identified three main phases to the pattern: lead-in, bump and run. Lead-in Phase: The first part of the...
The real economy slows down according to Fed chair Jerome Powell since November 2021..! Inflation is at a record high in the past 4 decades and could become double-digit (above 10%) in 2022 if the Federal Reserve keeps pumping liquidity in the system..! If you review my articles about inflation since May 2021, you will see how this pattern was detected before it...
These are my observations: 1- MSFT correction in January 2022, was the biggest and sharpest correction since March 2020. (Post pandemic) 2- Highest Price-volume ever..(295 Billion) + Biggest negative monthly return since 2016. 3- Making a dome shape Top, after a sharp bullish move in November 2021, Some call this pattern Bump and Run. The bump and Run...
What would be the point of publishing something without making the audience think about it? Questions: 1- Do you think there is a similarity between this chart and the picture below it? 2-If you think there is a similarity, which phase do you think small-caps are in? 3- do you want to learn more about this type of analysis? if your answer is yes, you can read...
In this article, I do not provide my analysis..! I just present my observation and provide a glimpse of an article: Asset Bubbles Through History: An asset bubble occurs when the price of a financial asset or commodity rises to levels that are well above either historical norms, the asset's intrinsic value, or both. The problem is that since the intrinsic...
I do not want to publish my analysis today, but I want to ask you a couple of questions and let you do the analysis yourself..! 1- How many red and green candles do you see? 2- How many consecutive red or green candles do you see? 3- How many consecutive higher highs do you see? (Nasdaq reaching a new high in the next trading day in comparison to the previous...
These days everyone talks about inflation, Hyperinflation, Stagflation,..etc. You may want to know how you could protect yourself in the high inflation era? What would be the best assets? What are the measures governments would take to control inflation? What is the definition of Inflation, Hyperinflation, Stagflation? What history tells us about high...
“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.” (Albert Einstein) The importance of Price Pattern Recognition I do not care if Ark invest buys HOOD and keeps buying more and more! As you see Hood is 82% lower than its ATH..! A clear downtrend that could go lower. options data in the next 3 months indicate it could go down to...
All major indexes have reached new lows today and bounced back a little, Which shows sellers are strong..! on the other hand they bounce back a little and none of them even touched the middle of yesterday's candle, which shows buyers are not strong enough! I think any trader in order to be successful should have a predefined plan for trading! That plan must...
For many there is a question: What did happen yesterday? THE answer is, FOMC or what I like to call the Jerome Powell effect! Some newbies think it is just Elon Musk that could move the market with his words, and that is not just true! While the total cryptocurrency market cap is 2.25 trillion dollars (much lower than Apple with 2.94 or Microsoft 2.5 trillion...