Neat downtrend. Inverted H&S (please if you disagree let me know). RSI and CVI (Cumulative Volume Index) both high at Head's peak and low on right shoulders: Note: Since there is no volume, I looked at the CVI, but I don't know anything about it....:( The target (1.077) converges with the top of the downtrend (resistance).
I drew a triangle based on OBV's 50 hour moving average (orange), and mirrored the triangle on price. Red and green areas are 80/20 % overbought / oversold zones. At this moment we are in the overbought zone so you can try a short here. I expect a big move of ca. 50% after price breaks out of the triangle. Targets: Upside: 333-375 Downside: 130-90 Cheers :...
Volume and OBV are both not supporting the bullishness of this wave (III) We are likely to continue forming the wedge (in 5 waves ideally) on lower volume and break down right after. Sell here and buy at the level of green support trend line. For further analysis check out my other published charts that I linked bellow. Cheers : ]
Linked in created and inverted ascending scallop -- confirmed. (thepatternsite.com). A bonus is the U-shaped volume with the pattern. This alone sets the target price at 279.25. In addition, a cup and handle is in the process of forming, which if successful, sets an intermediate target price at 263. On Balance Volume (OBV) also remains in a very positive upward trend.
The current market positioning seems pretty vulnerable, where after a 5-years bull market, serious technical warning signals have been persistent within the past year. So a short seems an attractive call just slightly higher, as the reward compared to risk is high. I have discussed in my earlier posts some of these signals, such as market breadth deterioration,...
The key word of the last week has been whipsaw. This term is applied in trading circles when the price head’s in one direction, and then is quickly followed by a movement in the opposite direction. The price of bitcoin has entered a period of high volatility and is whipsawing all over the place. A few simple words here: traders beware. It is time to be vigilant...
AD Issues is a GREAT breath indicator. It is still in a downtrend showing a big negative divergence. I dont like this at all
The accumulation is actually up, which hopefully means people are buying at this level, establishing a new support. I'm not jazzed about a $330-350 support level, but it's better than not knowing where the floor is at. Still, my miners are shut down, until it's cool enough to use them for heating, or BTC goes above $400 again.
I'm out. We pierced the only support that mattered. Watch out for sharks... the whales have left the building. And once again, they say, thank you for your buy support as they sold off their bags of holding. Here that noise? It's the sound of an overinflated, no-intrinsic-value ponzi, deflating. It's even dropping as I'm writing this...
Once again I'm using BTC-e because I use MetaTrader, and the Bitstamp chart throws me off just a wee bit in regards to the immediate future. Back in March, when we were still coming off the massive bull surge of last year, we still had bubble tendencies, made apparent by the significant and the significant (both notated above). This being a bubble, the volume...
The idea here isn't very difficult to understand. DAL has made a run up from $35.51 on August 8th, where we saw a bounce off the 150EMA, a personal favorite area to get long for me, especially looking at the weekly chart for this. Anyways, from the top down: 1) Bullish RSI Holding 60 Support 2) Established Uptrend - Long Term 3) Bounce off 150 EMA 4) Long $4.46...
Goldman Sachs is a short to me here on the daily for a quick short. I'll disclose now that on the Weekly chart I am long based on the giant indented head and shoulders and the smaller head and shoulders that makes up the right shoulder. That is in my IRA however, as I do not purchase stock (writing covered calls) in my trading account simply because it ties up too...
BestBuy has been consolidating since the beginning of July. Earnings are due tomorrow before the opening, and our IV% is at 56%, so I am looking for a play here to collect a credit. Historically looking at BBY we can see usually see a slightly bullish move after earnings (EPS, which is usually beating estimates). Because of this, and being at the top of this...
Bitcoin price has fallen through all the triangles drawn on this chart - including the big green symmetrical triangle based on the $339.79 low. Bitcoin price failed to reach escape velocity after breaking out of Andrews' Pitchfork and could never break above descending blue price trigger line. At this point, there is the possibility that price falls back into the...
Bitcoin continues its technical breakdown. On the 1-day chart the 50-day EMA has crossed below the 100-day EMA. You'll also notice Bitcoin price has dropped far below the 200-day EMA as well. In addition, Bitcoin has fallen below the Keltner Channels, which is something I had mentioned as a possibility in the past. On Balance Volume (OBV) is at an extremely low...
While it is well and good to create charts, monitor indicators and attempt to discern the direction of the Bitcoin price, it is easy to get buried in complexity and blinded by bias. That is why the On Balance Volume (OBV) is so valuable. You can read more about it by following the link below: www.investopedia.com Essentially OBV allows you to eliminate a lot of...
At this point the Bitcoin price has made a decent recovery from past couple of days where price dropped to the mid-$550's. However, looking at the chart the Bitcoin price and volume trends from June are still down. While the price in relation to the Keltner Channels and moving averages did not behave as I thought, I believe they will still exert influence on the...
Since the crash of 2008 emerging markets have seen enormous amounts of capital inflows. As you can see with volume on this chart money has poored into a very popular Emerging Market ETF, EEM. If you look closely, after significant corrections emerging markets are leading US markets. So look for EEM to push out of this recent correction at a higher rate of...