Nice head and Shoulders on the United Parcel Service #UPS and FEDEX are the new dow transport indicator. An underlying determinant of how the consumer is faring Since the US is a consumer economy and Online shopping is the majority of retail if we see new highs on the Indicies, and the home delivery carriers continue to deteriorate it would give your non...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The index reached our projected Mean Sup 5013 and swiftly jumped higher by suppressing our played-out interim Dead-Cat Rebound Mean Res 5110. Now, the index is moving to complete our Inner Index Rally 5175. This upside move will trigger a strong squeeze pullback to Mean Sup 5013.
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar experienced significant volatility during this week's trading session, with an upward movement that surpassed our Mean Resistance level at 1.075. As a result, a new resistance mark has been established at 1.080. However, it is projected that the currency will experience a downward transition to the Mean Support level...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin has completed our Inner Coin Dip 57200 and rebounded strongly with renewed strength. Currently, the main barrier to further upside move is marked at 64000. It is expected to experience a pullback to retest a Key Sup 58300, which will lead to renewed a Bull Stage movement targeting the Mean Res of 64000, 66900, and beyond.
The Federal Reserve left the target for the Fed Funds Rate ECONOMICS:USINTR unchanged at 5%-5.25%, as expected, but signaled rates may go to 5.6% by Year-End if the Economy and Inflation do not Slow down more. It is the first pause in the tightening campaign following ten consecutive hikes that lifted borrowing costs by 500bps to the highest level since...
ECONOMICS:EUGDPQQ (+0.3 %) Q1/2024 source: EUROSTAT The Eurozone’s economy expanded by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2024, the fastest growth rate since the third quarter of 2022, to beat market expectations of a marginal 0.1% expansion and gain traction following muted readings since the fourth quarter of 2022. The result added leeway for the European Central...
Interest rate bull and bear markets can run for many years before they change direction. Currently the yield curve is the lowest it has ever been and is still declining. The long term charts above are strongly suggesting that the bear market in interest rates ended during the pandemic crash low in 2020 after 39 years of decline. This will have major...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The index reached our Mean Res 5057 and valiantly surpassed it, indicating further upside potential to the Inner Index Rally target marked at 5175. From that point on, turning downwards to Mean Sup 5013 is a strong possibility. A further down trajectory is marked as Outer Index Dip 4865.
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has reached a crucial point in its trajectory, having just encountered its Mean Resistance level of 1.072. This has triggered a sharp downward move, with the currency now seeking its vital Mean Support level at 1.062. This suggests a probable continuation of the downward trend, which traders and investors should take...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin's trading this week has been volatile, fluctuating around our Mean Resistance level of 65600. Our Key Support level of 61300 will likely soon be retested once again, which could serve as a launching pad for a new Bull Stage rally. The target for this rally would be the newly established Mean Resistance level of 66900 and beyond.
ECONOMICS:USCPCEPIMM Core PCE prices in the US, which exclude food and energy, rose by 0.2% from the previous month in December of 2023, aligned with market estimates, and picking up slightly from the 0.1% increase in November. From the previous year, Core PCE prices edged 2.9% higher, undershooting market estimates of 3% to mark the lowest reading since...
ECONOMICS:JPINTR -0.1% November/2023 The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained its key short-term interest rate at -0.1% and that of 10-year bond yields at around 0% in a final meeting of the year by unanimous vote, as widely expected. The central bank also left unchanged a loose upper band of 1.0% set for the long-term government bond yield. The board said that it...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: Upon completing the Outer Index Dip 5045, per the Daily Chart Analysis for the week of April 12, Spooz witnessed a decline in this week's trading session, leading to the Key Support level of 4950. The current market trends indicate that the index will experience an upward Dead-Cat rebound, targeting our Mean Resistance level of...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has completed our Inner Currency Dip of 1.060. However, further selling pressure is reviling a decline to the next Inner Currency Dip of 1.054. Ultimately, the Eurodollar is expected to reach an Inner Currency Dip of 1.045. It is worth emphasizing, however, that an interim Dead-Cat rebound to the Mean Resistance...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading, Bitcoin reached the Key Support 61300 level and rebounded to the inverted resistance level derived from Mean Support 65600. This movement is part of positioning Bitcoin for the upcoming "halving" event, which is expected to happen around April 20. However, a market decline could cause Bitcoin to fall to an...
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY (March/2024) The annual inflation rate in Japan ticked lower to 2.7% in March 2024 from February's 3-month peak of 2.8%, matching market consensus. There were slowdowns in prices of transport (2.9% vs 3.0% in February), clothes (2.0% vs 2.6%), furniture & household utensils (3.2% vs 5.1%), healthcare (1.5% vs 1.8%), communication (0.2% vs 1.4%),...
MACRO MONDAY 21 NAHB Housing Market Index The NAHB Housing Market Index (HMI) is compiled from a monthly survey issued by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) to U.S. builders in order to measure the current and forward looking sentiment for single-family homes being built or with the prospect of being built in the U.S. In the survey builders rate...
China continues to purchase Gold, adding 23 Tons of the precious metal just the last month, according to the World Gold Council. Since November, China has accumulated more than 180 Tons of Gold, equating its official Gold State Reserves to around 2,136 Tons.