moshkelgosha

Moshkelgosha Updated 

I believe this process will not end soon, do not try to catch a falling Chinese knife..! Charlie Munger has tried this with BABA and I do not think he is happy with his decision! Consider this: What would happen if China and Taiwan situation escalate..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified...

Moshkelgosha

This chart shows the rate of change in the past 3 months..! The closet market performance in 3 months was Oct-Dec 2018 with a -17% return..! The question is how would it continue? Similar to 2008? or 2000? the worst 3-month performance was -38.53 Sep-Nov 2000 and the second-worst was -36.68 Sep-Nov 2008, the 3rd on so far is Jan-March 2022. What would be your...

Moshkelgosha

I am not like those clowns who use rocketships and invite you to the Moon, But, I warn you from getting whipped out, and I started doing this many months ago..! the gates of recession will be open sooner or later..! Macroeconomy in simple words: Higher inflation, Higher rates, lower spending will lead to a Recession..! If you have doubt review these (My...

Moshkelgosha

When I published my analysis on March 7th, the price was 86-87..! I mentioned a 46% opportunity in less than 6 months..! 2 Trading days after that, Bank of America increase its price target for Valero from 107 to 135..! I believe there will be an exceptional Q1 earning at the end of April..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified...

Moshkelgosha

Being on the wrong side of the equation will cost you a lot..! Cathie Wood's performance history in 2008 showed that..! I think she has a high chance to break her -48% (negative) return in 2008, after 14 years..! Why? in the first 3 months of 2022, her flagship is down 35%..! Forecast: ARK invest will not survive 2022..! Best, Dr . Moshkelgosha...

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The death cross is a technical chart pattern indicating the potential for a major selloff and has proven to be a reliable predictor of some of the most severe bear markets of the past century, including 1929, 1938, 1974, and 2008. The death cross appears on a chart when a stock’s short-term moving average, usually the 50-day, crosses below its long-term moving...

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Year-over-year (YOY) is a method of evaluating two or more measured events to compare the results at one period with those of a comparable period on an annualized basis. (Investopedia) The United States Inflation Rate YoY Food (14% of total weight), energy (9.3 percent), commodities less food and energy commodities (19.4%), and services fewer energy services...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

This will be the start of a new trend in the energy sector..! In 2022 EV makers has no chance to beat these old dogs..! Do not forget at the right time even Lumber had beat Tesla's performance..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a...

Moshkelgosha

Today's Oil sell-off decreased its performance from 60% to 43% YTD..! But Crack Spread increased to 202% and it is well above the average of 2021..! more than double..! Those who know this industry know what I am talking about..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an...

Moshkelgosha

The answer is No..! Why? because it is in a consolidation zone, and the trend before it was bearish..! Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for...

Moshkelgosha

the target for the past 2 analyses has reached 100% accuracy in time and price level. Now it is time for a new forecast..! In the past 5000 years, Goold has proved its ability to hold its purchasing power..! Inflation-adjusted by the US Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. shows based on this CPI adjustment, that the all-time...

Moshkelgosha

On December 9th, 2021 when RIVN was 116.5 I put the target on 60-40 in the next couple of months..! 11 days after that I recommended shorting RIVN would be the best among TSLA, LCID, and RIVN..! Today RIVN touched 39.86..! But I think it will go lower after the earning because it did not sell anything..! Why? Because it did not produce anything to...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

I think the RIVN chart pattern is very similar to HOOD and it could follow the very ae pattern and experience a sharp constant drop to 60-40 in a Bearish case..! You may think you have bought the next Tesla but Rivian can not be the next Tesla..! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these...

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I think AMD will experience a sharp move between March 17-31. But before that, it will fluctuate in the triangle zone..! As you can see I have activated Rectangle, triangle, pennant, and wedge pattern detector..! These indicators seem useless and they work retrospectively..! Such a disappointment..! Hope to see a better version soon..! Best, Dr....

Moshkelgosha Updated 

To all those who blindly follow someone: I warned you at least a year ago, ARK invest is nothing but a social media campaign to create bubbles..! Look at the oil 125 price , and ask yourself: What if all Cathie Wood’s prediction end the same way? I recommend to watch her CNBC interview to see she is in total denial phase..! Like a very rookie trader..! ...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

Entry: the opening price Stop loss: closing below 36.6 Reward/Risk: Target range: 48-50 Time Frame: 4-12wks Possible gain: 25-30% Possible loss: 5-7% Position size: 5 % of trading capital You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor,...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

If you don't want to accept the reality that Ark invest is in a downtrend, you will pay for it..! this is its weekly chart: 2 weeks ago Cathie Wood told CNBC: " People betting against us are shorting innovation" No, we do not, we bet against the social media created bubbles, We bet against your old investing style that failed in 2008 and pushed you out...

Moshkelgosha Updated 

Entry: 103-105 Stop loss: closing below 100 Reward/Risk: 3 Target range: 120 Time Frame: 2-4 wks Possible gain: 15% Possible loss: 5% Position size: 5 % of trading capital You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified...