The SPI 200 shows an established uptrend on the 1-hour chart, with a recent bullish engulfing candle forming a higher low around the 20-bar EMA and closing above a retracement line.
The RSI remains above 50 to show positive momentum, and there are no obvious signs of a topping pattern forming on the chart.
A break above 7907 assumes bullish continuation and...
Prices have been coiling on the daily chart to form a potential bullish pennant / symmetrical triangle, which hints at further gains. RSI (14) remains over 50 on the daily chart, and volumes were lower during the consolidation to show lack of conviction from bears, sellers stepping in at the cycle highs.
The 1-hour chart shows prices retracing lower after RSI (2)...
We have a huge risk event in the coming hours; US PCE inflation. Should it come in softer than expected, risk is likely to pick up as this is how it has behaved pretty much every time inflation has come in soft. Conversely, a hot inflation report could dent risk - but we suspect not to such a large degree.
Fed members have been very vocal about maintaining...
The ASX 200 cash market rose for a second day, although the SPI 200 futures closed flat with a potential bullish pinbar on the daily chart. The 1-hour chart also shows a potential bull flag, which projects a target around 7640 (or the Feb 2nd overnight VPOC - volume point of control).
For today, bulls could seek pullbacks towards 7580 - 7587 (overnight VPOC) in...
SPI200 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 7165 (stop at 7215)
Buying pressure from 7018 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. With the Ichimoku cloud resistance above we expect gains to be limited. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
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If we get a bullish run from here (@ 6670 now) for the next few days to see upwards of 6900 trade, then I see the following projected path all the way to Feb 2023 where the final hit of 6400 can happen and a sustained BULL run can start for the rest of the year
Just putting it our here for now to follow it on the DAILY Timeframe
In this update we review the recent price action in the AUS SPI200 and identify the next high probability trading pattern and price objectives to target
Short Term Trend: Bullish.
Price Action Signals: Price broke down from an Inside Bar Pattern that formed just under the 6885 resistance level late last week (counter trend).
Potential Trade Idea: We are considering trading longs after a retracement in prices AND from a price action buy signal on the 1 hour, 4 hour or daily chart, at either the 6765 or 6555...
