Will the 2021 peak happen again ? consolidation occurs like in 2021, will history repeat itself?
QQQ on the daily chart hit a hpivot high on 3/21 followed by a slight downtrend of 1-1.5 % overall this past week. Buying volumes are low. The Price Momentum Oscillator has reversed to bearish and the Raltive Trend Index has entered the chop zone and is heading bearish. Price is presently one standard deviation above the intermediate-term anchored VWAP....
Bought a one lot of shares and sold an in-the-money -75 delta call to emulate a 25 delta short put to take advantage of call IV skew and to have built-in pro via the short call. Metrics: Break Even/Cost Basis in Shares: 52.71 Max Profit: 2.29 ($229) ROC %-age at Max: 4.34% ROC %-age at 50% Max: 2.17% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at...
The NASDAQ:NDX , Nasdaq 100, is at a support level on the daily chart, left. The 4Hr chart shows it is almost at the 320Moving avg, left. Being that there's support & the intraday is at a Major Moving Avg, we'll likely get some sort of bounce around here. The index is also oversold daily & intraday. NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:TQQQ NASDAQ:SQQQ
SPY on the weekly chart is up 25% in the past six months. This is beyond its historical norms even during a presidential election year. While there has been some volatility in both directions the climb is consistent and persistent. The indicators serve to document this. The predictive algo predicts more of the same. A price cut when the fed gets around to it...
On this 15 minute chart, TQQQ is in an anchored VWAP band and volume profile breakout. Near to the end of the regular market, the RSI indicator ran from deep oversold. After hours, NVDA reported a sizable earnings beat. The AI machine learning and backtesting indicator forecasts and uptrend continuation. I will get call options targeting $58 for...
TQQQ on a weekly chart in 2021 ascended into a falling wedge. As part of the falling wedge, it started the downside initial part of a cup and handle pattern. The reversal occurred 11 months ago with the upside completion of the cup back to 57.5 In the typical cup and handle, the handle then forms in a 50% retracement of the height of the cup. the cup height...
... for a 2.49 credit. Comments: Adding to my TQQQ position on weakness ... . This is a bit longer-dated than I like to go with shorter duration premium selling, which I like to keep in that 45 DTE wheelhouse, but May has now only 35 days in it, and I like to stick to monthlies in all but the most options liquid underlyings. Will generally look to take profit...
QQQ is on a weekly chart. Only the pundits, soothsayers and headline readership volume seekers know for sure. Will not the upcoming elections prop things up? Buy in March April and May and then go away? Is this spring coming up roses or instead dandelions?
... for a 1.54 credit. Comments: Adding a short put component to my TQQQ covered call (See Post Below) here on weakness. Metrics: Break Even/Buying Power Effect/Resulting Cost Basis In Stock: 50.46 Max Profit: 1.53/$153 ROC at Max: 3.03% ROC at 50% Max: 1.52% Will generally look to take profit on the covered call component at 50% max and the short put...
... for a 50.93 debit. Comments: Selling the -75 delta strike against a one lot to emulate a 25 delta short put with built-in defense via the short call. The call IV skew that I was looking to take advantage of before has evaporated somewhat, with the same strike short put paying about the same (1.94) as the max profit potential of this setup. Since I'm...
Technical Breakout: On November 13, 2023, NASDAQ:TQQQ experienced a significant structural shift with the breach of the $40 resistance level. The subsequent bull run in the tech sector propelled NASDAQ:TQQQ to a peak of $61.22 on February 12, 2024. Fibonacci Retracement: After reaching the peak of $61.22 on February 12, 2024, NASDAQ:TQQQ made an...
... for a 47.75 debit. Comments: Dabbling a smidge in the leveraged ETF due to its high IV (56.3% 30-day). Selling the -75 delta call against a one lot to emulate a 25 delta short put, but with "built-in" defense via the short call, which can be rolled down, out, or down and out to reduce cost basis and setup break even. As usual with the sort of thing, will...
SPY on the 1H chart was riding the cynamic resistance of the second upper VWAP line in mid July but then pivoted down out of a head and shoulders at the bottom of the month and is now bounding up and down retesting the support of the mean VWAP line. The ADX indicator shows the flat line directional index. The ZL MACD is upgoing after a cross of the lines at...
AAPL on the 60 minute chart is compared on the superimposed indicator on its own scale the RSI for a similar time frame. The chart shows that AAPL has sunk to its price level in the pre-earnings period two weeks ago. At present, price and RSI are running in parallel and RSI is a litle higher than price while on its own scale. Price is currently near to the...
QQQ is shown here on the 15 minute time frame. Overlaid are a HMA 7 and SMA 5 to provide moving average crosses. QQQ made a "M" pattern. Options charts are shown in the updates. First Trade SQQQ is opened at 9:48 for $ 6.00 per call contract times 16 contracts. It is closed at 10:05 less than 20 minutes later at $20.00 per contract. $96 dollars the only...
I don't like this setup. The recent increases we've seen are just to reach the edge of a wedge, which is the classic movement before a fall, and the wedge has a descent of 25%. so, be careful!
Confirmed Cup & Handle pattern on Nasdqaq (QQQ). The handle is gaining momentum and validating the upward trajectory. It's fascinating to note the alignment between news (fundamentals) and the established pattern (technicals). Or is it merely a perceived correlation?