DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a simple MACRO ANALYSIS on current bond market meltdown where the US02Y dropped nearly 25% within FIVE TRADING SESSIONS. POINTS: 1. US02Y deviation is simple & marked at every 1% difference as bonds rise and fall within the same range percentage therefore it has a rubber band like price action relationship with...
bonds are telling the market that stonks are overpriced.
We will have a deflationary crisis before super inflationary crisis. During the upcoming rate cycle we will have inflation going up at the same time as rates. Welcome to a new world. At least in the US. I've been saying this for years, higher rates only compensate inflation it doesn't fight inflation.
I received a request to update this chart. Thank you @Braeden2 The US30Y held it's wave 4 bottom in the .382% area of wave 3. The last time I posted this chart we had not yet embarked on our 5-wave pattern higher in what I'm counting as a wave 5. Today we see we have a wave 1 and 2 in place. Additionally, you'll notice how our recent wave 4 structure...
I am reposting this important chart as I made some mistakes prior. Understanding the basics of Bonds is very important to traders/investors. Yields (interest rates) are like gravity to other asset classes. The higher yields go the more gravity on other asset classes. Most are unaware of this simple rule bc most traders today have never had to deal with inflation...
Here is our technical outlook for US30Y. US30Y is trading within a demand zone. Based on our view the price will rise. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Recently I posted my analysis of the 30Y yield. That posts is here . Since then bond yields have moved higher. As I stated in my original post this could end up between 5%-6% before any meaningful pullback. Best to all, Chris
This chart appears pretty well behaved. This decline in yield has come right into the .382% retracement area of wave 3 for a wave 4 bottom. If the 30Y bond continues to behave...yields are headed above 5%. To some of you reading this...that may sound like a stretch. To those who like correlations...I wonder what happens to stocks if this plays...
Hey traders, Here is our forecast on US30Y. US30Y reached a strong resistance area. Based on our outlook the market will dump to the next structure support. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Hello,Traders! US30Y went up sharply Retested the horizontal resistance And made a pullback so I think We will see a retest Of the support level below Sell! Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading! See other ideas below too!
Many beginners traders are watching closely the markets after missing the move up so they sell it and wanting the market to reverse it all, you must be patient and know the pair you are trading on very well as well the markets how it works don't FOMO and as I said that's not a double top that's a flag in the making don't let the market take your money always do...
Shorting US treasury bonds has not been a smart idea for the last 22 years but it would seem that tied has turned....
US30Y - 41 yr bull market in bonds comes to an abrupt end. US30Y yields headed much much higher.
US30 treasuries are hitting a resistance line, 50 MMA and a high RSI and MACD. It seems like a good risk / reward to buy some treasuries here. If the recession is starting it should put a downward pressure on inflation and treasury rates. I will buy some TLT ETF and SPPX ETF.
Hello everybody! I wanted to make a quick update on where I think the 10y and 30y bonds will be headed in the next few months, as in the past, I've been talking quite a bit about deflation and a recession being close. We have seen TLT rise significantly, yet I think there is more upside. In the short term, I can see a further pullback, but in my honest opinion,...
30 year yield has topped, increased my position in 30 year treasuries. Disinflation is coming later this year, already seeing it in durable goods.
✅US30Y is trading in a rising narrowing wedge But the price action is bearish Especially given that a strong horizontal resistance Was recently retested So I think that after the breakout The price will go further down SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅