GME About To WaterfallGME SAVE THE TAPE! Back in June 2021, I warned people to GTFO out $GME when it was trading at $212 Today it trading at $20 and about to waterfall again. Despite my several follow-up warnings over the last year and a half people continue to fight me on this. SMH! Shortby RealMacroUpdated 484484158
Gamestop- Idiosynchratic Systemic RiskThe rise and fall of GameStop's stock in 2021 became a landmark event in financial history, captured in the recent film "Dumb Money." This saga, fueled by unprecedented social media buzz and retail investor sentiment, culminated in a historic short squeeze and raised critical questions about market access and regulatory oversight. The Spark: A Sentiment-Driven Squeeze GameStop, facing declining brick-and-mortar sales, became a target for short sellers who saw its business model as outdated. However, a surge of online optimism, primarily on platforms like Reddit and Twitter, ignited a buying frenzy among retail investors. This sentiment-driven buying pressure triggered a dramatic short squeeze, propelling the stock price to dizzying heights in January 2021. The Fallout: Buy Buttons and Direct Registration While the price eventually corrected, the social media fervor persisted. Concerns about trading restrictions implemented by certain brokers during the squeeze further fueled the fire. This led retail investors to embrace Direct Registration of Shares (DRS), a process that removes shares from the clutches of brokers and places them directly with the company. The goal: to limit the availability of shares for shorting and potentially trigger another squeeze. DRS: A Unique Market Phenomenon With over 74 million shares DRS'd as of the last earnings report, GameStop represents a unique case in market history. No other non-penny stock has witnessed such a large-scale withdrawal of shares from the open market by retail investors. This unprecedented scenario has created a volatile market dynamic with the potential for significant price movements. Technical Analysis: Signs of a Potential Breakout GameStop's price chart exhibits classic characteristics of a stock primed for a short squeeze breakout. Price consolidation since the 2021 squeeze, falling volume and volatility, and rising short interest are all potential indicators of pent-up pressure. The Socioeconomic and Elliott Wave Perspective Analyzing market movements through a socioeconomic and Elliott Wave lens, we recognize the crucial role of collective sentiment and mood in driving stock prices. GameStop's price trajectory aligns with a clear 5-wave Elliott Wave pattern, suggesting a potential return to all-time highs and beyond. Potential for Government Intervention The exponential counterparty risks associated with a potential GameStop squeeze raise concerns about systemic market instability. Government intervention, in some form, cannot be ruled out to mitigate the potential fallout of unrecoverable margin calls on significant market players. The Sequel Awaits: A Story Unfolding As time unfolds, the GameStop saga continues to evolve, captivating both financial experts and retail investors alike. Whether a sequel to the "Dumb Money" film materializes remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the story of GameStop is far from over, with its potential consequences for the market attracting keen attention worldwideLongby Heartbeat_TradingUpdated 141141471
GME, IT'S GAME ON! Price Growth ImminentGME is certainly a no brainer from the current level. The daily data is suggesting a very significant accumulation and net buying. Daily higher lows has been registered. Target Prices will be 30, then 40. Spotted at 20.0 TAYOR. safeguard capital, always. -------- Here is some fundamental data for reference: (mostly outperforming, 3 digit percent growth) (USD) Ene 2023 Y/Y Kita 2.23B 1.22% Net na kita 48.2M 132.68% Diluted EPS 0.16 133.33% Net profit margin 2.16% 133.03% Operating income 68.4M 145.27% Net change in cash 336.5M 327.06% Longby JSALUpdated 8840
TSLA short squeeze approachingTSLA seems to appear closer to a short squeeze. Here are some crucial levels mapped for June3-2024. A crucial level is at $180.00 if broken up side, we can easily target $185 and above. For the Downside, $173 is major level, If broken downwards, trend can continue until $168. Usually, TSLA has June as the strongest month of the year, therefore keep your fingers crossed for possible pullback/retest.Longby Heavyguidance1113
Nvidia Takeoff!! $1039 with earnings around the cornerNvidia earnings around the corner are we going to make another ATH in Spy! Will Nvidia get us there, I think so GPU 50 series release Rumors more Cloud Technology added in GPU's!! What else could you ask for in an AI boom!! $1039 price target for NvidiaLongby JoeWtradesUpdated 8822
AMD Cup and handle formation, Go LongAfter a 2 month correction, AMD bounced off EMA9 on a monthly timeframe forming a cup and handle pattern. Go Long.Longby a3456sdfsdf7bx78Updated 3311
BB Copium AnalysisSomething to think about. At the end of the first 46 bar pattern end we went sideways for 5 months. At the end of our current 46 bar pattern we are sideways for the last 5 months. RSI at bottom for both patterns ending. Posting this to be able to hit the little play button later and see how it panned out. Thank you. “There is no present or future-only the past, happening over and over again-now.” - Eugene O'NeillLongby AbsoluteRegard222
TSLA Stock financial datas to date 2.6.2024Comparison for Datas provided for public and shareholders vs true records from the bank of Rockelfeller Bank dated 2nd June 2024by adoringKing32492110
Zone to Zone trade on AXPAXP is soon to enter the 240 to 244 zone. Enter with an hourly close above 240 with 2 week expirations. Target is the 244 area. Hard stop at hourly close below 240.Longby dustinldalton110
AAPL: Sideways Trend & Rectangle In the Chart NASDAQ:AAPL Sideways Trend Rectangle Pattern. Resistance 2 - 196.65 Resistance 1 : 192.7 Support : 186.67 *If you need more technical or fundamental analysis, you can inform me.by ustrader26339
SMCI trendline retest bounce go LongSMCI broke above the trendline, then retracted back to re-test the trendline and this time it bounced off of the trendline, rejecting the trend continuation and going into reversal. Go Long.Longby a3456sdfsdf7bx78334
NIO: Great Investment, or a Flop?My attention has for the moment been directed towards NIO thanks to Morgan Stanley’s recent purchase of 10M shares, raising their investment value by 55% to over 28M shares, whilst simultaneously setting a near 100% upside 1Y price target to $10 per share. Ahead of NIO’s June 6 earnings report for 1Q2024, I thought it best to take it upon myself to review the company’s past reports, consumer sentiment, competition, and upcoming industry opportunities, in the anticipation that the all time high (ATH) of about $67 may be broken not so far in the future — quite possibly in the next two to three years. Indeed, that sort of prediction may appear at first to be the lament of an investor who readily entered the stock near its ATH, but in fact I have neither open nor closed positions in NIO stock or options at the time of publishing. That is to say: this is an independent evaluation intended to lay out NIO’s potential to become a high-value company, alongside factors that might stand against such an increase. What is NIO, and What Differentiates Them? As stated in their Annual Report 2023 , published April 2024, NIO is “a pioneer and a leading company in the premium smart electric vehicle market. We design, develop, manufacture, and sell premium smart electric vehicles, driving innovations in next-generation technologies in assisted and intelligent driving, digital technologies, electric powertrains and batteries. We differentiate ourselves through our continuous technological breakthroughs and innovations, such as our industry-leading battery swapping technologies, Battery as a Service, or BaaS, as well as our proprietary NIO assisted and intelligent driving and its subscription services.” Compared to most other Chinese EV companies, NIO distinguishes itself primarily through two factors: high-end models and battery swapping. High-End Models NIO focuses on the premium segment of the EV market, offering luxury features and cutting-edge technology. Their vehicles are known in China for their performance, design, and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). Models cater to consumers looking for high-quality, technologically advanced vehicles. This positioning allows NIO to target a market with higher profit margins and less price sensitivity compared to the mass market. However, this also effectively sets an upper limit on the demand, as most lower-class and low middle-class would not be able to purchase NIO even if they are willing. It is also worth noting that in Chinese culture, names are seen as of great importance; NIO’s Chinese name is pronounced wèi lái, which means Blue Sky Coming , and it is seen as almost auspicious and rather chic. The same pronunciation of the characters can also be used to mean “future” when written in a different manner. Trading View prevents using multiple languages, hence the lack of Chinese characters. Battery Swapping and Battery as a Service (BaaS) NIO's battery-swapping technology is a significant differentiator: instead of traditional charging methods, NIO offers battery-swapping stations where depleted batteries can be exchanged for fully charged ones in a matter of minutes, replaced by robots without a need for human intervention. This innovation addresses two of the primary concerns of EV owners — charging time and charger availability (for those without private chargers). The BaaS model further enhances this by allowing customers to lease batteries instead of purchasing them with the car, reducing the upfront cost of the vehicle by about $10K and offering flexibility to upgrade to newer battery technologies as they become available. This service model is unique and provides NIO with a recurring revenue stream, similar to a subscription service. The standard 75kWh battery costs $100 per month and the long-range 100kWh one cost $230 per month (respectively reduced by 31% and 35% in March). Do note that the costs accrued from building battery swap station and chargers increases relatively linearly — a good sign as long as revenue continues to increase exponentially. As of May 29, 2024, there are 2,427 recorded swap stations in China, 802 of which are along highways. While there are fewer swap stations in Europe, these are located in larger cities where most NIO Europe users are concentrated. Cooperations with other EV companies are in the works to develop cars which can utilize NIO’s existing battery swap station. Today, NIO has the following partners on battery swapping: GAC Group, FAW Group, Changan Automobile, Geely Group, JAC Group, Chery Automobile, and Lotus Technology. If these collaborations ever come into fruition, NIO would undoubtedly have higher profits from the numerous non-NIO vehicles using their swapping services. Besides, as of November 2023, about 80% of the power from NIO chargers is used by other brands, with BYD and TSLA vehicles being the foremost at 19.4% and 12.3%, respectively. Safety I would like to leave this note on safety, since much attention has lately been drawn to the issue of Chinese EVs catching fire. According to Wikipedia , NIO only had 3 fires recorded by 2021, one of which was caused by a collision; an article in 2023 states two more fires had occurred due to collisions, bringing the estimated total to five for a company that has now sold over 515K EVs as of May 31, 2024. It is suggested that those looking to invest in Chinese EV companies compare their rates of fire per hundred thousand cars sold. For NIO, this number seems extremely low, at under 1 fire per 100K — unless there remains other data my investigation did not uncover. Stock Performance and Sentiment NIO's stock has historically been highly volatile, reflecting both the rapid growth potential and inherent risks associated with the EV industry. I have identified a possible supertrend buy signal on the 5Y chart in the case that the stock price closes above the $6.56 mark at the end of any week. If this happens, it could signify a robust upward momentum, potentially attracting a wave of new investors and boosting market confidence. This possibility is supported by an upwards slope in on-balance volume (OBV) since mid-April — a momentum indicator for volume showing crowd sentiment. Please refer to the chart for supertrend and OBV. The green box indicates the possible buy zone if the supertrend is confirmed, and the arrows on the graph seek to provide a rough guide for how price might move. Overall, market sentiment is mixed, with many investors predicting for an uptrend and others unsure of when NIO will become profitable. Consumer sentiment towards NIO remains generally positive, particularly among tech-savvy and environmentally conscious consumers. The company’s focus on high-end models with advanced features has carved out a niche in the premium EV market. Their NIO house idea further sets them apart from competitors, offering a place where users. These strategies positions NIO well against competitors like Tesla, which also targets the high-end segment, and differentiates it from other Chinese EV manufacturers that compete primarily on price. Competition and Industry Landscape NIO operates in a highly competitive landscape with numerous players vying for market share. Tesla remains a formidable competitor globally and within China, leveraging its brand recognition and extensive Supercharger network. Other Chinese manufacturers like BYD and XPeng also pose significant competition, each with their own strengths in battery technology, manufacturing scale, and market strategies. It seems unlikely NIO will ever have the chance to expand to the United States of America. However, the rest of the Americas might hold some potential for future expansion. At the moment, it might be best for NIO to solidify their position in the Chinese markets and to gain more loyal customers across Europe. Recent Events and Announcements NIO Energy, a key subsidiary focusing on charging infrastructure, battery swapping, and energy storage, recently secured a substantial investment of $207 million. This capital influx is earmarked primarily for research and development (R&D), as well as to support manufacturing and operational costs. Such investments are crucial for NIO’s ongoing technological advancements and expansion of its service network, enhancing its competitive edge in the fast-evolving EV market. Furthermore, NIO announced its record-breaking May deliveries of “20,544 vehicles, increasing by 233.8% year-over-year. NIO delivered 66,217 vehicles year-to-date in 2024, increasing by 51.0% year-over-year.” Having broken their July 2023 highs in deliveries, it appears more and more likely that once NIO ameliorates their cost-managing, their profits will see a formidable increase. Anticipation is building around NIO’s upcoming earnings report for Q1 2024, scheduled for release on June 6. Previous quarterly reports have shown mixed results, with strong revenue growth but persistent challenges in achieving consistent profitability. Industry Opportunities and Challenges The EV industry is poised for substantial growth, driven by increasing environmental regulations, government incentives, and a global shift towards sustainable transportation. For NIO, opportunities lie in expanding its market share, both domestically and internationally, and further innovating in battery technology and autonomous driving. However, the company faces several challenges. Supply chain constraints, rising raw material costs, and geopolitical tensions can impact production and profitability. Additionally, NIO must continuously innovate to stay ahead of the competition, particularly in battery technology and autonomous driving capabilities. Conclusion: Great Investment or a Flop? NIO presents a compelling investment opportunity with its innovative technologies, strong brand positioning, and significant growth potential in the premium EV market. The company’s strategic focus on battery swapping and BaaS provides a unique value proposition that could drive recurring revenue and customer loyalty. However, potential investors should also consider the risks. The EV market is highly competitive and rapidly evolving, with substantial operational and regulatory challenges. NIO’s financial performance has been inconsistent, and achieving sustained profitability remains a key hurdle that NIO will hopefully be able to resolve by end of year 2024. In conclusion, while NIO has the potential to become a high-value company and possibly exceed its previous all-time high of $67 per share in the next few years, it also faces significant risks that could impede its growth. Investors should weigh these factors carefully and consider their own risk tolerance and investment horizon before making a decision. Once the June 6 earnings report is released, I will make an update to further scrutinize earnings and revenue growth. At the moment, it seems a small long position in NIO at the current price would be fitting (low theoretical downside risk at just over $5 per share), although it might be best to wait for supertrend and OBV confirmation before making a hefty commitment. Omni out. Feel free to ask any questions or provide suggestions. This is not financial advice.Longby OmniscientInvestor228
Long in $COIN After hitting annual highs, the value has corrected with a decrease in volume and correcting a bearish divergence in RSI. At this time, the short-term bearish trend has already been broken and we have a positive signal with the crossover in the Stoch RSI, which is in oversold territory. For its part, Bitcoin looks equally good technically and the on-chain indicators show us that there is probably a good path left in the bull market.Longby MCHVLL555
MSFT Shares Surge on Record Yearly VolumesMSFT Shares Surge on Record Yearly Volumes On Friday, 31 May, almost 48 million Microsoft shares were traded on the NASDAQ – the highest number since the start of 2024. Meanwhile, the MSFT price chart formed a “hammer” candle: → trading opened at $416.75 per MSFT share; → mid-session, the price dropped below $406; → however, by the end of trading, the price had recovered to $415.13. Fundamentally, it is difficult to pinpoint a single piece of news that served as the bullish driver. According to Barron's, a significant incentive for investing in MSFT shares should be considered the prospect of high dividend payouts. From the perspective of MSFT chart technical analysis, the price action can be interpreted as evidence of demand absorbing all selling pressure: → the share price is within an ascending channel; → having dropped to the $406 level, the price pierced the $406.40 support from 8 May – this likely triggered mass activation of buyers' stop-losses and led to a shift in the balance of buyers and sellers; → in the pre-market today, the MSFT price is around the median – thus, it can be assumed that the market will consolidate at the beginning of the week. If Friday's bullish momentum continues, the price may encounter resistance around the bearish gap at $424 per MSFT share. A crucial driver for the price of MSFT and other market leaders in the near future will be the upcoming Fed meeting on interest rates, scheduled for Wednesday, 12 June. According to TipRanks, the average forecasted price of MSFT shares in 12 months is $491.90 (+18.49% from current levels). Buy and sell stocks of the world's biggest publicly-listed companies with CFDs on FXOpen’s trading platform. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading share CFDs with FXOpen. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.by FXOpen114
Iron Condor - Dollar Tree. in 5 daysThis is a short term and risky Iron Condor for 7th June, going over earnings on 5th June, but with high premiums. Iron Condor = Buy Put 105 Sell Put 117 Sell Call 126 Buy Call 137by delden1113
NVDA Short: Using another 2 Fib Extension levelsNote that this is the 3rd time that I have suggested to short NVDA. The first time we were fortunate as price gapped up and thus the trade wasn't taken. The 2nd time was stopped out yesterday. And this is the 3rd time that I am calling for NVDA short. The risk-reward ratio is good. Keep it tight.Short02:27by yuchaosngUpdated 669
Amzn inverse head and shouldersAmazon is printing a massive inverse head and shoulders on the daily chart. Daily is obviously more reliable than lower time frames. The upside projection of this lands right on a key fib level around 210$. I expect this to play out as AMZN is way more undervalued than the other Mag 7 stocks save googl. Amazon also has so many sectors and a massive monopoly style moat. -210$ in the next quarter imoLongby Apollo_CB222
What on Earth is Happening to Berkshire Hathaway?BRK.A is down 99.7% today from about $622,000 per share to $185. Most likely a glitch, but the stock has been halted and will be interesting to figure out why this happened.by SWRLS111
SMCI Short IdeaGiven the strength of NVDA and other semis, it may not be the best idea to try and short into that much strength, but this could prove to be a great short opportunity if NQ falls off. SMCI has broken a shorter term uptrend to the downside, so I'll be looking for short entries on a retest. There's actually two different trendlines it could hit at the same time which would be the ideal scenario.Shortby AdvancedPlays111
Adobe shoulder "I observe that Adobe has formed a head and shoulders pattern. Based on this, I believe Adobe's stock will rise in the short term. Notably, Friday's close was positive after hitting the trendline in the one-week analysis, reinforcing my confidence in this prediction to 90%."Longby KAIM1777220
NVIDIA is going to top out, consolidate before taking offThere's only one more meme rally left before CBDC's. I expect Nvidia to meet guidance for earnings, will spike up and then crater. There's some cheap puts for .20 for 500 strike price for July. Will probably be 450 after it's all said and done when it bottoms out. Which is a 2,250x return if the stock did crater! Couldn't rule out a flash crash. I think if we wait till next week to buy the puts it'll be cheaper, maybe .15 which is a 3,000x. They will definitely soar when the FED ends up cutting rates after the BOJ sells treasuries and BRICS unveil their currency. If Trump wins our country will convert back to a gold standard. If Biden wins they will try to usher in a CBDC. Better own some food, land, ammo and precious metals comrade if you do decide to vote against "Mean Tweets"... Shortby EmptyEternityUpdated 272776
$TSLA 190c 06/07 above 180NASDAQ:TSLA IHNS Bounced off the Plat zone(.88-.786) on the Daily Bounced on Silver zone (.5-.382) At a Volume Shelf Retracement Targets are 184.70; 198.88; 213.06 Extension Targets are 197.79; 204.87 Volume Shelf Targets 192.5; 195; 200.55 2hr Time Frame Longby Gunvir110
GME - Is It Time?If you've been following the GME saga you probably already know about DFV's YOLO post on Reddit. Just as folks were starting to think things might be over, GME had been quietly holding the $20 area and began making higher highs and higher lows leading into close last week. All while the options chain was continuing to be hit over and over by large 6/21 call orders. I've been burned on this thing this year, so I'm cautiously optimistic. The squeeze seemed inevitable, but timing it is very difficult. I'm lucky to have a small position in some 6/21 calls if tomorrow is the day.Longby AdvancedPlays12