CPI data was in line, with little reaction from major speculative markets and no significant volatility in the crypto market. The market expects this Thursday's Fed resolution to remain a no-hike, with the fall being the last rate hike likely to become a reality. From the current data, the IV on Thursday compared to the usual almost did not rise, institutions also...
The bull market has been a clearly spot-driven bull market, with all major derivatives data relatively flat, futures premiums holding around 10%, and options IVs not showing significant gains. We have to put this rally and the news of the impending passage of the ETF in perspective; this spot bull market is very healthy, the downside is limited, and the bull...
Going into the delivery month, Dec options account for half of the total positions. According to the experience of previous years, two weeks before the big annual delivery, market makers will start to make annual shifts. With the current high IV for options after January next year and the high probability that annual delivery will pull down IV, now is a good time...
🌍 Timeline of this week's big important events (12/4-12/10): 📌 This week's macro has US unemployment data, all major asset classes are currently adjusting their pricing for the impending end of the rate hike cycle, and cryptocurrencies continue to see inflows. With fewer crypto events of late, mainly money driven, it is more critical to keep an eye on the inflows...
December saw a rise beyond expectations, bitcoin broke through $41,000, ethereum broke through $2,200, and continued to rise almost without retracement. The giant whale once again showed a sense of smell before the market, from last week to re-add positions in the block call, with the current uptrend, 50,000 and 2,400 are obviously not out of reach. The main block...
Greeks.live recently made an Doge options OTC block trade, the big players began to layout the next altcoin bull market, and traders are preferred to trade options at Greeks.live! Trade: Bought 500K Doge- 24Mar-0.3-C @3500USD Notional Value $ 150,000
BTC and ETH block trading resumed hot, with today's block trading accounting for more than 40% of the total notional value of over $1 billion. In terms of individual contracts, the highest BTC trade was 29DEC23-50,000-C and the highest ETH trade was 26JAN24-2,400-C . With the highest percentage of pure buys, the whale players have once again rekindled bullish...
🌿1 Dec Options Data 29,000 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.58, a Maxpain point of $37,000 and a notional value of $1.13 billion. 230,000 ETH options are due to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.49, a Maxpain point of $2,100 and a notional value of $470 million. Crypto volatility levels have dropped significantly this week, with BTC...
Bitcoin hit $38,000 three times in one week. BTC, which is leading the market, continues to see OTC inflows spurred by ETF-related news, with a significantly higher IV in January. The probability of both a short-term breakout and a pullback is now higher, but the short-term IV is lower. Calendar spreads will be a very good arbitrage opportunity, buying short-term...
Bitcoin fell below $34,000, driving Altcoin back in tandem. Meanwhile, major term IVs continue to rise and are already approaching their average levels from the beginning of the year. The current move is key, with options investors generally expecting volatility levels to continue to amplify in the near term, but trading records show that selling calls has been...
Many friends often ask what kind of option profit is the biggest if they have their own views. The market in recent days has given a very clear answer—— daily options hit the slightly ITM, for example, BTC can rise to $ 35,000 before 25OCT, then the profit of 25OCT-34,000-Call is the largest, this time the profit reached a hundred times! COINBASE:BTCUSD