GBP/USD has risen sharply over the past three weeks, logging solid gains that have coincided with a shift in favor of riskier currencies at the expense of the broader U.S. dollar. After recent price developments, cable is flirting with overhead resistance at 1.2720, defined by the 61.8% Fib retracement of the July/October selloff. If the bulls manage to clear this...
Gold jumped more than 3% to above $2,100 early on Monday before paring those gains, hitting fresh all-time highs amid growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at this month’s meeting and could start cutting rates next year. Traders also doubled down on those bets despite Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s pushback against rate-cut...
According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, US GDP in the third quarter increased 5.2%, up from an estimate of 4.9%. Stronger GDP data boosted the USD. Expert Jeffrey Roach of LPL Financial, a financial company, said that inflation is trending down, consumers are still spending but at a slower pace, and the Fed can end the cycle of raising interest rates...
The $2,000 level below current prices represents an important support zone that could serve as a strong "bottom" for the market. However, be aware that reaching this level may not be easy.The release of the Core PCE Price Index, expected on Thursday, could cause significant movements in the market.Index This is the Federal Reserve's preferred indicator and could...
The British pound has been heavily influenced but the US dollar of recent with investors becoming less hawkish on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path. Recent weaker US economic data has prompted such an outlook alongside some dovish Fed commentary. During yesterday’s US trading session, the 2nd estimate on US GDP surprised to the upside but the market...
The euro fell 0.17% versus the dollar to $1.0973 EURUSD, pressured by inflation data from Germany showing price growth slowed to 2.3% year-on-year in November from 3% in October. Inflation in Spain also slowed sharply. The euro zone-wide inflation figure is due out on Thursday, before the Fed's preferred measure of U.S. inflation, the personal consumption...
Gold edges higher in the early morning Asian session, underpinned by prospects of Fed rate cuts next year, which would increase the appeal of the non-interest-bearing precious metal. Treasury yields have stayed under pressure following Fed governor Waller's comments earlier this week that monetary policy is well-positioned to return inflation to a 2% target, ANZ...
GBP/USD has been on a bullish tear in November, rising nearly 4.5% since the beginning of the month. After Tuesday's gains, the pair has reached its best level since late August, but has been unable to reclaim the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July/October slump (1.2720). If this ceiling holds, the upside momentum could run out of steam, paving the way for a...
EUR/USD extended its advance on Tuesday, clearing Fibonacci resistance at 1.0960 and rising to its best mark in more than three months. If the pair holds onto recent gains and establishes a support base near 1.0960, there's a possibility of an upward push towards 1.1080 following a period of consolidation. Should bullish momentum persist, attention could turn to...
Gold rose toward $2,050 an ounce on Wednesday, hitting its highest levels in nearly seven months and benefitting mainly from a sharp decline in the dollar amid dovish remarks from US Federal Reserve officials. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said that current monetary settings are restrictive enough, and flagged a possible rate cut in the coming months. Chicago...
The Australian dollar reaction to this mornings retail sales report was interesting as the move back into negative territory (see economic calendar below) may suggest the Australian economy (households) are feeling the impact of the current restrictive monetary policy. Although one data point does not make a trend, if these spending habits continue to decline, the...
The GBP and Cable in particular has had a mixed start to the week, fluctuating between gains and losses. Markets in general were a bit slow today ahead of what is a relatively busy week on the data front. The UK, however, does not have any high impact data releases with GBP pairs likely to face external threats. The UK faces a quiet week on the data front...
The dollar index DXY, a measure of the greenback against a basket of currencies, was last at 103.11, its lowest since Aug. 31. The dollar was track for a loss of more than 3% in November, its worst performance in a year. Market expectation that the Fed's rate increase cycle has finally come to an end has also put downward pressure on the greenback. U.S. rate...
Gold prices climbed on Monday, buoyed by the drop in U.S. yields and the U.S. dollar’s softness. With recent performance in mind, XAU/USD has risen more than 8% since October, firmly eclipsing its 200-day simple moving average and ascending beyond the psychological $2,000 level – two technical signals that have strengthened the metal’s constructive bias. For...
Sterling was last 0.06% lower at $1.2598, but hovered near Friday's over two-month peak of $1.2615, on data last week showing that British companies unexpectedly reported a marginal return to growth in November after three months of contraction. "That indicates the resilience of the UK economy despite the very aggressive monetary policy tightening from the Bank of...
Elsewhere, the euro slipped 0.03% to $1.0930, but did not stray far from an over three-month peak of $1.09655 hit last week. A survey out last week showed the downturn in euro zone business activity eased in November but remained broadbased, suggesting the bloc's economy will contract again this quarter as consumers continue to rein in spending.
Gold edged higher in the first Asian release. Research team Phillip Proof said in a commentary that there are certainly many people who believe the Fed has completed its energy bull cycle, noting gold rose to the key $2,000/oz level on Friday. The prospect that the Fed's tightening cycle could end could increase the appeal of the non-interest-bearing precious...
The Aussie was idling at $0.6556 AUDUSD, having been mostly rangebound between $0.6540 to $0.6570 overnight. It is up 0.5% for the week, but it still faces resistance at the 200-day moving average of $0.6590.Australian bonds also struggled this week. Three-year government bond yields (AU3YT=RR) surged 13 bps to 4.212%, while 10-year yields AU10Y rose 11 bps to 4.568%.