TintinTrading

TintinTrading

2023 WATCHLIST A series of stocks that i will be monitoring at the beginning of 2023 Here is a new issue from the Construction/Mining Industry. Relative Strength (IBD): 95 Sales acceleration: Jun-22: 11% Sep-22: 21% Funds acceleration: Jun-22: 2652 Sep-22: 2558

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2023 WATCHLIST A series of stocks that i will be monitoring at the beginning of 2023 Here is a new issue from the Semiconductor Industry. Relative Strength (IBD): 96 IPO: 2022 Sales acceleration: Jun-22: 41% Sep-22: 38%

TintinTrading

- I like the powerful move it is sustaining - Volume signature is looking great - Strong industry group

TintinTrading

- Stock is getting in an early stage 2 - Buying off a low cheat - Gross Margins increase - Industry group is strong

TintinTrading

WHAT IS IT Modelling previous moves of the S&P500 Recession & Non-recession moves, we can create a model for 2 scenarios: Non-recession Bull *Cyan* Recession Bear *Orange* HOW TO USE IT Bear markets have never ended before the start of recessions, so a recession would likely mean new lows in the market indexes. The stock market tends to lead the economy out of...

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WHAT IT IS Since 1988 the Russell 2000 has outperfomed the SPX 73.5% of the time during the end of December into 1st of January. Classical David vs Goliath. Read more below👇 THE DETAILS Testing from 1988 to 2021 the period of 15th Dec through to 1st Jan, we see that Russell 2000 has outperformed the SPX 25 out of all 34 years. This is a win rate of 73.5% ....

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Todays study follows analysis on the Post-War Recession Start Dates. We evaluate the price action the 12 months before Start of Recession and 12 months after Start of the Recession. What we can easily evaluate that once and IF a Recession is confirmed we have about 5.8% more (ON AVERAGE) to the downside and the next 2 months are most volatile. From then on we...

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Today we have FOMC FED announcement! This is likely going to create volatility in the market. If we measure the how long it takes for a market to reach bottom we can see that the average time after the first FED cut is 9 months. From previous post we saw that the first RAISE was in 11 May 2022. Now if the FED pauses or cuts rates will start our timing of the...

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FED DAYS As you can see, Fed days has been over 60% more volatile than non-Fed Day since hikes began. Still they have not been as volatile as CPI days and that comes on Tuesday (today). The bottom table shows the action on the last 7 CPI release dates. CPI DAYS The average true range on CPI days has been 89% larger than the average true range on all other days...

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[bBACKGROUND In previous idea I showed that it is very significant if we are going to get recession or not. Link here: WHAT WE ARE LOOKING AT Here we look at what % decline did the SP500 experience BEFORE the start of a recession*. HOW TO USE IT We see that the average decline is -6%, HOWEVER we are currently already at -25%. This indicates that...

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The calculations use the S&P Dow Jones Indicies. "The past doesn't repeat itself but it rhymes" WHAT IS THIS IDEA It plots all Bear Markets from 1900 to present day and separating them with those who have coincided with Recessions and those who are independent of recessions Analyse the current Bear compared to previous precedents to determine the...

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**Publishing again because it got taken down by Mods** While this has pulled back recently - it reminds me of a lesson from the great trader William O'Neil and his lesson for the "WALL OF BLUE" 🟦 Not many know this rule, so hope you like it! Wall of blue rule states that when you have 4+ weeks of blue volume bars (blue volume bars = volume when the week close...

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I am buying $REGN again here. I like the base, the volume signatures are great and it is showing great strength. The industry is Biotech (and it is in top 30 industries currently in the stock market) The IBD RS rating is 95 Fund ownership is increasing: - notable funds owning it are: American Century Focused Dynam, JP Morgan, FIdelity Contrafun, MFS Frowth,...

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These are quite useful to follow. We have 4 major ways to track Crypto Market Caps $TOTAL = Crypto Market Cap $TOTAL2 = Crypto Market Cap - BTC $TOTLA3 = Crypto Market Cap - BTC - ETH $TOTALDEFI = Crypto Market Cap for DeFi Clearly all are below the purple line (200D SMA) and clearly in Stage 4 downtrend (as per Stage Analysis criteria). This mean "no-touch"...

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The market is a forward looking mechanism. I have discussed before that the current correction can play out like 1994 bear market. For this reason I look at this as a historical precedent. When the market sees pause it anticipates a decline, this pushes stock prices up, at least in practice :)

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A DEEP CORRECTION = a correction more than 25-30% within the consolidation period. Sometimes a stock might correct more especially in a volatile bear market. Deeper correction are more risky as they are more failure prone - use these ideas to put probabilities on your side. The checklist 1. You want as much time away from that correction as possible (at least 1...

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TintinTrading

Review of some of the watchlists that I am watching within the coming week

TintinTrading

The market is a forward discounting mechanism and looking back my stance is that the stock market are anticipating a pause in the FED stance. Hinted on Wednesday by FED Chairman Powell who said "smaller rates increases are likely ahead" as soon as December. If the market is anticipating a pause, THE GENERAL MARKET INDECIES are likely to push forward. This of...