supere

supere Updated 

Once again, just as I thought the FED had successfully slain this beast on Wednesday, it reminded us that is is still alive and, possibly, hungrier and stronger than ever before. Within a period of less than 15 mins, it was as if this beast, crushed and pinned down by rocks, suddenly shuddered in great distress, releasing the boulders that held it down in all...

supere Updated 

The infant VIX beast was pummelled before it had a chance to mature. It is now on lifelines. I say there is one last chance for it to rise as a mature beast of devastation but it must happen within the week. What does this mean? We either face a crash of Feb 2018 or Argentian proportions by end of September, or this idea shall fade away into the dust and the beast...

supere

How did the song go? Was it... ... puff the magic dragon ... pop the magic bull or ... poof the magic bear? Some days I feel I'm just being plain stupid or stubborn continuing to think that something catastrophic will happen to the stock market as it floats higher and higher into la la land. Then again, don't these charts I stare at everyday tell a different...

supere

I just want to inform my followers of what happened to Argentina's stock market. The return to the Dec 2018 lows did not happen over months. It did not happen over weeks. It did not happen over days. The crux of it happened in a matter of overnight *hours* where the majority could do *nothing*. Now, I'm not sure if the US markets have a safety night to...

supere Updated 

Now, the question is... What type of beast is it? A snake? A dragon? Or... ...the grand father of all bears?

supere Updated 

Today, as I continue my daily monitoring of the vix, something seems amiss. Based on the previous two mini-crashes, we should already have seen the most powerful part of the impulse already, taking the market to an intermediate bottom. However, as strongly as fear has grown in investor sentiment, no significant drop has occurred. We are a mere 5% away from...

supere Updated 

Today I added potential upper channel boundaries (purple) based on the previous two vix spikes and it tells me that we are setup for potential market *devastation* with a possible vix peak of 70 over the next two weeks. For the courageous, I say it is time to short the market for a 4 to 14 day cliff drop. For the more conservative, stay safe in cash or play a...

supere

I would be cautious in believing that this week's rally is anything but an illusion before the grandfather of bear's is unleashed. Of course nothing is certain but, based on the strength of the initial vix explosion compared to Feb and Oct 2018, I see the possibility that the devastation wreaked by the next vix leg up will be unimaginable to those who are not...

supere

Looks like we have navigated through some treacherous waters. Onward to the treasure!

supere Updated 

Are we flying yet? Interesting turn of events as the FED seems to have given the market what it asked for yet it went the other direction. The historical charts tell me that we may have a 6-7 day market purging followed by 2-3 weeks of rebound. Good luck to all. Be safe!

supere Updated 

This idea I've had about a possible explosive rise in the vix may be dead in the water as of today, as volatility briefly dropped below it's former base value of 12.1. However, an ominous bullish divergence still exists on the vix daily chart, so one must still be wary over the next couple weeks as this market continues to defy gravity.

supere Updated 

The vix has maintained above it's base value of 12.1 and has since turned up in strength. Observe the large green candle forming and the RSI strength. Could the blue window be complete? We all can see what might come next based on the previous two mini-crashes.

supere Updated 

Ever dream of being part of a swashbuckling pirate adventure in the search for the 'X' on the map? I have an inkling that this year marks the day where we could get lucky. I've marked the initial 'X' on this map but there could be much greater treasures to find for the courageous. Look to the traditional treasures this year, silver, gold, miner's and a fortune...

supere Updated 

I have only drawn up the weekly chart here, but if you examine the chart of the nasdaq futures at every time scale from 15 mins to monthly, extreme bearish divergence exists at every degree since Jan 2018. Volume has also been capitulating since then. In fact, it looks to be the worst bearish divergence to appear in all of the stock market's history. Today we...

supere

Typically, the market and bond prices move in opposite directions. However, since early 2018 there seems to been an anomaly as shown in this chart. Both the Feb 2018 and Oct 2018 mini-crashes were pre-empted by a large top and drop in bond prices some weeks in advance. Today, bond prices suffered a waterfall type drop while the market continues to inch up. What...

supere Updated 

The vix dropped further than I expected this week but it maintained its supportive base and rebounded strongly after the jobs report on Friday. In light of this drop-bounce action, I think a repeat of the Feb or Oct 2018 market mini-crashes is still possible over the next two months. Pin pointing the exact date is extremely difficult. However, we can see in my...

supere Updated 

Why are we near ATHs whilst the vix is perched at such dangerous levels? Do my circles indicate potential enormous risk ahead? We shall see.

supere

Are we going to continuing profiting simultaneously from risk on (stocks) and risk off (gold, silver, bonds) assets? Or... is something wrong with the overall market picture? Why does the monthly RSI look so terrible? Why did bitcoin plummet 22% in 90 minutes? Why did oil suddenly collapse 2.5% in the last hour today? Who bought the market in those last 5...