Instead of calling Gold analysis, I would use the term of trading plan or trading journal to record my trades.
So please note: This is a personal journal only, but NOT a trading suggestion. Please control your own risk if you want to follow, we may have different risk preference and position management strategy.
Date: 2020/05/29
No plan, No trading
Entry reason:
Gold has confirmed the break out on the trend line. It's best to enter long when a retracement happened.
So here's my plan:
Buy at 1715 - 1720. TP 1750 1763. SL 1710
confidence level: 65%
--------Previous trade update ------
Emotion level: Calm
Result: 1720 short , SL hit at 1725 . 500 pips in loss
------------wave analysis ---------------
There are 2 possible situations here:
-----
No.1 wave (v) is not completed at 1763. The previous rise is just wave (1) of v.
Currently gold is doing a retracement wave (2) in a descending wedge channel with an a-b-c-d-e pattern. Gold was also testing the previous wave (iv) channel upper line and seems the support is valid for now.
For this situation, the key resistence level is the upper line of the wedge channel which is 1720 area. Break out the channel will confirm the start of wave (3),
-----
No.2. Wave (v) is already completed at 1763. Now it's doing correction wave A and later B & C may happen and gives me opportunity to long and short again. Then the Gold will start a big fall to 1640 area.
However for this assumption, the end of A or B can not be predicted.
So please note: This is a personal journal only, but NOT a trading suggestion. Please control your own risk if you want to follow, we may have different risk preference and position management strategy.
Date: 2020/05/29
No plan, No trading
Entry reason:
Gold has confirmed the break out on the trend line. It's best to enter long when a retracement happened.
So here's my plan:
Buy at 1715 - 1720. TP 1750 1763. SL 1710
confidence level: 65%
--------Previous trade update ------
Emotion level: Calm
Result: 1720 short , SL hit at 1725 . 500 pips in loss
------------wave analysis ---------------
There are 2 possible situations here:
-----
No.1 wave (v) is not completed at 1763. The previous rise is just wave (1) of v.
Currently gold is doing a retracement wave (2) in a descending wedge channel with an a-b-c-d-e pattern. Gold was also testing the previous wave (iv) channel upper line and seems the support is valid for now.
For this situation, the key resistence level is the upper line of the wedge channel which is 1720 area. Break out the channel will confirm the start of wave (3),
-----
No.2. Wave (v) is already completed at 1763. Now it's doing correction wave A and later B & C may happen and gives me opportunity to long and short again. Then the Gold will start a big fall to 1640 area.
However for this assumption, the end of A or B can not be predicted.
