FXTM

97.71 remains line in sand for US Dollar Index Bears

TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
The recent rally past 96.68 levels must have turned most traders on the bullish side of US Dollar Index but prices still need to decisively break above 97.71 levels to void the bearish scenario. It has taken several months and expanded flat structures are difficult to identify at times. At this moment the larger degree structure remains intact towards an expanded flat being unfolded since 97.00 levels earlier. Also note that the rally from 95.20 through 97.00 seems to be in 3 waves, and hence corrective. A bearish reversal from here could still keep the structure intact. We remain neutral for now and shall wait for a break below 96.50 levels for further confirmation on the bearish stance. Kindly note that upside remains limited even if 97.71 levels break, since strong bearish divergence is seen on different time frames.


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