goldenBear88

#1,800.80 on the cards / Full Bearish reversal

Short
TVC:GOLD   CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)
Gold's general overview: Gold is forming a Rectangle on the Daily chart which provides mixed picture on the Short-term, without firm pattern to Trade on. The suggested range is #1,808.80 - #1,828.80. That means that as long as the Price-action is within this range, Gold has chances to pierce both Support and Resistance and shift the Short-term trend. Every time Gold is within this range, it perform the exactly same Trades as I will take Profit at my own convenient price. If #1,823.80 breaks, Price-action can extend the recovery towards #1,845.80 Lower High, while #1,813.80 Support break can engage #1,800.80 sequence in motion. With the RSI Neutral, current configuration reveals more space for a decline, but as discussed, these are Fundamentally driven sessions where Volatility and side Swings are expected.


Price-action commentary: Gold almost hit the #1,853.80 level and pulled back, not only due to #1,853.80 being the Resistance (January High) but also due to this week's soaring on the Stock markets (inverse correlation). I have a similar situation to late November. Last week's Daily chart candle pierced the Daily chart #MA50 for the first time since early January, but closed above it, then yesterday's Daily chart candle even though it opened with a new High, again closed below the Support and today's session candle is comfortably Trading on losses with it's Low exactly on the #1,808.80. This sequence resembles the standard Support pricing patterns. Daily chart is broken Channel Up and within Rectangle, so still a valid Buy entry if #1,823.80 breaks. I formulate my Medium-term approach based on the Weekly chart where as I mentioned on November #30 and bought the Bottom, as long as the Weekly chart #MA50 is intact (even though it broke), the Medium-term trend remains Bullish with Short-term target #1,869.80. On the other hand, if you still haven't Profited on the current Selling sequence, you may engage Sell order and await the #1,800.80.


My position: I have managed to take decent Profits on recent Buy orders, and been waiting a model to Sell Gold / while I am operating already with an Selling order since #1,823.80. I will risk (even though that Weekend break is ahead) and keep my Selling order all the way towards #1,800.80. Keep in mind that #1,823.80 semi-Resistance break can restore the Buying outlook. #1,800.80 psychological barrier is surely on the cards.

- My official and only Telegram Channel: t.me/goldenBear88
- Few other un-official channels are not mine, they are copies using my real information (impersonating me and my work / identity) so keep that in mind and beware of those.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.