FX:AUDUSD   Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar
Current trend

Since the beginning of this week, the pair is strengthening, despite the fall of the Chinese stock market and currency.

This week, no significant macroeconomic reports were published in Australia. The news background from the US was contradictory, and there were no fundamental reasons for the short-term strengthening of the pair. The fall of China's stock market should have led to a decrease in AUD and NZD, but this did not happen, indicating a strong oversold of commodity currencies. At the same time, pressure on AUD persists against the backdrop of the US trade war with China and the “hawkish” attitude of the Fed.

Today at 14:30 (GMT+2) the data on the producer price index will be published in the US. Tomorrow at 00:00 and 00:30 (GMT+2) speeches by representatives of the American and Australian regulators are scheduled. In addition, on Thursday at 14:30 (GMT+2), the release of data on the US labor market and consumer prices is scheduled. Investors expect a significant decline of the pair by the end of this week.

Support and resistance

In the H4 chart, the instrument could not break out the resistance level of 0.7125 and started to decrease. Bollinger Bands are trying to reverse upwards, and the price range expanded, indicating that the growth will continue. MACD histogram is correcting near the zero line.

Resistance levels: 0.7123, 0.7143, 0.7175, 0.7197, 0.7227.

Support levels: 0.7092, 0.7075, 0.7055, 0.7032.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened from the level of 0.7120 with targets at 0.7050, 0.7030 and stop loss at 0.7145.

Long positions may be opened above 0.7145 with target at 0.7180 and stop loss at 0.7130.

Implementation period: 1-2 days.

Scenario

Timeframe Intraday
Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 0.7120
Take Profit 0.7050, 0.7030
Stop Loss 0.7145
Key Levels 0.7032, 0.7055, 0.7075, 0.7092, 0.7123, 0.7143, 0.7175, 0.7197, 0.7227

Alternative scenario

Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 0.7150
Take Profit 0.7180
Stop Loss 0.7130
Key Levels 0.7032, 0.7055, 0.7075, 0.7092, 0.7123, 0.7143, 0.7175, 0.7197, 0.7227

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