MicKi

GBPUSD at crossroads. Possible scenarios

Short
MicKi Updated   
FX:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
The price of the pair has rejected the descending trendline once again with an engulfing bearish candle. We have two scenarios here :

- Rejection of trendline + engulfing bearish -> We are not in an area of strong support so the price could easily keep falling until the 1.2365 area where support is a lot stronger.
- RSI divergence -> We have an RSI divergence in the D chart. Also we had 3 bullish days in a row so the downward movement yesterday could be a pullback before breaking the descending trend line.

In these cases I like to look at a lower time frame. Lets have a look at the 4H.

We see in the 4H chart that the price is sitting at an area that has been rejected in the recent past 3 times. I will take that support line as reference and if I see a strong bullish movement I will be more inclined to go long. If, on the other hand, I see a break and close below that line I will take the bearish path.

What do you think? Do you think this analysis is correct? Do you have different views? Let me know in the comments
Comment:
Price broke the support area and it is heading to our TP target
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.