FX618Analysis

DXY Likely To Make Push Towards 100.00 As USD Gathers Pace!

Long
TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index

The above snapshot was taken from the monthly DXY TF charts, showing nearby concrete support and resistance levels. The monthly candle has convincingly closed outside the 98.00 resistance suggesting that the price headed towards the 100.00 mark.

The main chart is the weekly TF chart showing a well respected ascending channel. The price would likely gather pace to HIT the 100.00 Mark in the comings weeks based on fundamental market movers!

Due to ongoing trade war and slight hope that a deal could be made, the demand for SAFEHAVEN USD has increased. So the question comes, which pair will likely get affected the most due to USD strength? What we observed last week was that the JPY did not gain significantly against the USD as the market were still skeptical that a trade deal was far from being agreed and due to this JPY was resilient against the USD.

The CAD also was resilient supported by the strong OIL prices and GOOD fundamental datas. Against the CHF the USD gained ground but in my view trading a SAFEHAVEN currency with another will be difficult as the demand for both intensifies when RISK OFF mood is present!

So cutting the chase short, last week the NZD and EUR were the biggest losers against the USD, largely due to their fundamental aspects not being too supportive. The RBNZ is thinking of slashing rates and the new incoming president of the ECB has hinted the rates could go into deeper negative territory due low inflation and growth.

So it is advised to take the advantage of EUR & NZD against the USD strength. Personally i am already SHORTING the EURO against The FRANC and i would be looking to take advantage of NZDUSD when the session opens to target 0.61000 level (go to the related link ideas to find out more about NZDUSD)

This just represents my outlook on the DXY. Shall a trade opportunity be feasible regarding the NZDUSD i will post it in a new post.
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