FXTM

EUR/USD H4 – Upward momentum night continue

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FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
The EUR/USD currency pair, on the H4 time-frame, was in a down trend until the 18th of June when a lower bottom was recorded at 1.118136. Demand overwhelmed supply and the down momentum was negated.

After the bottom at 1.11813 the market broke through the 15 and 34 Simple Moving Average, the Momentum Oscillator pierced the zero baseline into positive territory and there was a crossing of the 15 and 34 Simple Moving Averages, called a Golden Cross. All of these confirmed a possibility technical price reversal.

A possible critical resistance level formed when a higher top was recorded on the 25th of June at 1.14145. Sellers tried to push the price lower but demand overcame supply and a higher bottom formed on 25th and 26th June at 1.13451, confirming a likely support level and strengthened a possible reversal further.

If the EUR/USD breaks through the critical resistance level at 1.14145, three possible price targets may be projected from there. Attaching the Fibonacci tool to the top of the possible reversal at 1.14145 and dragging it to the support level at 1.13451, the following targets may be calculated. The first target can be anticipated at 1.14573 (161 %). The second price target can be predicted at 1.15267 (261.8%) and the third and final target may be expected at 1.16388 (423.6%).

If the bottom at 1.13451 is broken, the possible scenario is invalidated and will need to be re-evaluated.

As long as buyers maintain a positive sentiment and demand overcomes supply, the outlook for the EUR/USD currency pair on the H4 time-frame will remain bullish.


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