ExclusiveMarkets

US Dollar Index resistance is seen towards 99.90/100.00

Short
TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
US Dollar Index is retracing its recent drop between 100.56 and 99.00. The fibonacci 0.618 retracement is seen towards 99.98 and if prices manage to reach there, a bearish reaction can be expected. The US Dollar Index had dropped from 103.00 through 98.27 levels earlier, Wave 1 on the chart. A triangle consolidation structure unfolded as Wave 2 and terminated around 100.56 last week. Since then, Wave 3 seems to be underway towards 94.65 and further. Looking at the lower degree wave structure (not labelled here), Waves i and ii within Wave 3 might be complete at 99.00 and 99.87 respectively. If the above counts hold true, we are close to witnessing a sharp decline as Wave iii of 3 unfolds. The overall structure remains bearish against 103.00, going forward.

Strategy:

Short against 103.00, targeting 94.65 and further.

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