Summary: How long would it takes to have a reasonable pullback/correction/crash after a major bottom in the market since 1877 ? Median of 15 Months Average of 20.71 Month -June 2021 is the Median of 15 Months from Covid's low -November is the average of 20 Months from Covid's low. # of Bars = # of months it took for any significant...
Measuring days going down, from our 18 Months cycle to these corrections last four big ones . Probabilities of topping: 5.4.2021 "Already passed" 6.10.2021 . 66 days down 7.19.2021. 41 days down 7.29.2021. 33 days down.
- 2 Of which are based on Covid's low ! - Last one is connecting last 2 troughs !
Very interesting on the bottom side, almost all cases confirmed when under 10, i might missed allot :-) but you got the point. wish you all the best.
- RSI = We are far away from a bubble - B% = Mid of Bubble land - MACD = Beginning of Bubble land What Is Margin Debt? Margin debt is debt a brokerage customer takes on by trading on margin. When purchasing securities through a broker, investors have the option of using a cash account and covering the entire cost of the investment themselves, or...
I could not find a set-up for both indicators ? for tops they both can stay up their hitting the Roof for months !!! . it is like a dog chasing his tail !!! literally . For bottoms William is much better in searching for one. but, as usual it gives quite early signal !!! which make it risky if used alone and quite frankly you could get caught in the middle or...
Maximize chart for INFO. wish you all the best.
Simple manual guide to better understand the relations, if there is any, between SPX & US10Y BONDS This is combing our four last studies into one comprehensive idea to try and figure out the patterns in both instruments. Thanks for your understanding if i missed one here or there or made some mistakes here and there. *** THE KEY FOR THE WHOLE STUDY IS : Daily...
Tops for SP since 2009 1/ All above 50D MA " Which we have" 2/28% Above 200d MA 3/ 72% False break of 200D MA
Data for Kissing/Crossing 200Weekly MA: 2017-2019? One year nothing then 11%/20% 2015-2016 : 14% 2015-9 months sideways then 12% 2015 xxxx nothing 2013-2014 Long bull move. 9% pullback. 2011- 8% 2011- 7% 2010- 17% 2005-2007 : xxx long Bull move the crash 05-6% 05- 7% 04- 8% 1999-13%/10%/13% then crash 1997- 10% the bull move. 1996-8% Choppy Market then bull...
There is a probability of 26% that we will have RED December with max draw back of 3.4 % & a probability of 74% we shall get a green December with 5.2% bullish move.
"It can't keep..." "It has to..." "I think it will..."
What is the theory of contrary opinion? The theory of contrary opinion, otherwise known as contrarian investing, is a psychological theory applied to trading, according to which, when most people have the same opinion about what the market is going to do, there is a high probability that it moves in the opposite direction to that expected by that mass of...
1/ Unless November 22 was a top ! 2/ Unless FOMC'S Press Conference does not crash mkts ! 3/ From Elliott perspective this is as bullish as it gets!!! 4/Always expect the unexpected and act accordingly, we could be CRASHING TODAY !!! Alternative is WYX in Red
one. The general direction is still uptrend nothing is changing except news from Europe's lock downs. Unless November 22, 2021 was our top then we will get a trough soon. *By the end of today we might see some changes in some indicators signaling a shift of direction, we need to "Reevaluate" after the close to get a confirmation !
here on this chart since Covid's low nothing alarming as you can see , or not to be determined after FOMC's meeting.
Unless November 22 was a top and we are already crashing ,then this could be WXYXXZ structure and we are in wave XX going down for Z.
1/ On schedule then, December 22,2021 2/ If delayed of weather then, December 27, 2021 ---------------------------------- Unless November 22 was our top, the grand count is still W 3 & in "Progress"