Sell set up for spx500Looking to see if we will get a retest back to the previous lower high structure. If the markets close back outside of the zone, then this will be my sell set up that I will takeShortby abeshaw97111
Another Perspective: "a great place to exit"Not financial advise, and anything could happen, but there is historically an 80% probability that this breaks down. The US Government and the Federal reserve have made some grave errors. Same mistakes over and over. This one looks real to me. Not a correction. Not a dip to buy. It's a maelstorm from hell. In real dollar terms, we touched 2021 highs here and rejected. Because people are slow to respond, it will be a very slow motion event I suspect. At this point, we have a setup likely to dip. You can check out here, let it drop, and buy back in if your greedy fingers want more more more. But if you're looking for safety, I think we are likely on the brink of something seriously salty. If there is a catalyst - a geopolitical event, or bank failures... If consumer confidence in the financial system is poisoned. Maybe by bots running in china suggesting people take their money out of the bank, then the world will go to shit. If the top in 2021 invoked terror in you, then you see it here in 2024. Divide the market by uscpi - it's a double top in real dollars. US gov't is going to spend today and take it from all of us tomorrow in inflation. "The things that surprised me the most were the things that had not happened in my lifetime." I don't know what happens next, but I'm very sure that things are gonna get weird. Shortby decklyndubsUpdated 1
SPX500USD is ready to rise againHi traders, Last week SPX500USD made exactly the move I've said in the outlook. So now the correction has finished and we could look for longs again. Trade idea: Wait for a correction down on a lower timeframe and change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs. If you want to learn more about wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! EduwaveLongby EduwaveTrading111
Looks Like A Double Double Trouble In The SPX Daily.What's up Traders? I mean down! Yep SPX making another go at falling short. Get it? Lol! Here we may go people! Looking double double bubble this time. 2 double tops on the SPX daily Oanda chart. Little brother and big brother. Which one of those bears are going to attack? Let's start with 5120.5 area first. Second 4951 area. Third 4829.6 area if big brother jumps in this fight. If we go past that I will post something based on what I see from there. Trade careful out there and best of luck in all your trades. Shortby Trade-Farmer1
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 24, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 reached our projected Outer Index Rally at 5342 and then quickly retraced as part of the primary reignited squeeze move path. It is unlikely that it will drop to the primary down target Mean Support at 5221. However, it may continue to advance towards the completed Outer Index Rally at 5342, the Inner Index Rally at 5408, and the next Outer Index Rally at 5450. The secondary reignited squeeze triggering points are at specified destination pinpoints.by TradeSelecter1
S&P 500 Falls 0.7% Amid Investor Uncertainty S&P 500 Falls 0.7% Amid Investor Uncertainty The S&P 500 OANDA:SPX500USD declined by 0.7% on a subdued Thursday as investors adjusted their portfolios amid fluctuating market sentiment. The trading session was marked by an uneasy atmosphere following the release of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting minutes, which indicated that central bankers are not in a hurry to reduce interest rates . This cautious stance from the Fed has been a key factor in supporting the recent upward trend in stocks. Technically Side: The price has declined and reached the breakout zone, indicating a potential return to the 5266 level. To continue the bearish trend, the price must break below 5266, confirmed by closing a 4-hour or 1-hour candle under this level. If this occurs, the next targets would be 5226 and 5193. Conversely, if the price closes above 5282, it would suggest a bullish trend, with the potential to reach 5307 and subsequently 5320. Pivot Line: 5282 Resistance Levels: 5305, 5325, 5350 Support Levels: 5245, 5227, 5193 Today’s expected trading range is between the support 5192 and the resistance 5320.by SroshMayi5
SPX Showing Signs of Weakness at PCZ of a Bearish Alternate BatThe RSI on the daily has begun to rollover as the SPX appears to have rejected off of the Bearish Alternate Bat HOP level. There does not appear to be much nearby support within the range the SPX is currently trading in so if it gets back below the previous All-Time High I could see it coming back down to around $5100 maybe even $5000 - $4800. This all seems to be brought on by the increase in JGB Yields disrupting the Carry Trade. We may see them try to stabilize the carry trade around $5100 but there is a heightened chance of failure. More on the carry trade can be seen in the related idea below. Shortby RizeSenpai2
S&P500: Wait for the ideal level to rebuy.The S&P500 index is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.135, MACD = 2.270, ADX = 26.567) despite the fact that it made a new All Time High, in fact turning the former R level into S. The uptrend is being supported by the 4H MA50 since the May 2nd breakout and the Channel Up presents a new low risk buy opportunity close to the 4H MA100, ideally when the 4H RSI approaches the 30.000 limit. We will wait for the opportunity to go long and target the top of the Channel Up (TP = 5,400). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##by InvestingScope9
SPX in 6M chart.Hello everyone I know if I show you this time frame it might be possible that some of you criticize me but it is my wavy and I always get good views for my next months. One important thing is that all technical and elliott rulse are becomes more reliable as long as you go to higher timeframes. In this chart, we are in a break out candle (I named it) that will remain for 2 month and it has just 2 choice. 1: goes up and confirms our break out and rally 2: goes down and make a bearish pin bar According to Elliott principle, we know that after a correction we should have another trend (Rally for up trends) and then repeat it again because unlike Forex market that is most of Corrective patterns, in the stock, securities, and so on we just ave up trends (In large timeframes). If you consider this huge bearish candle that started at 4820.40 USD, as a correction (Probably Wave 2 Grand Cycle) then it is rare that this correction in where we are can make another bearish RED candle in this chart. To be clear, I think we will pass a shallow correction and continue to the rally (With Crypto Market). Maybe I right Maybe not Just time can reveal that. ThanksLongby AMA_FXUpdated 226
S&P500 Short-term buy opportunityThe S&P500 (SPX) index gave us an excellent bottom buy signal on May 02 (see chart below) that comfortably hit our 5200 Target: The pattern that prevailed is a Channel Up, holding since the start of the month. As long as it is supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 4H RSI Rectangle holds, we expect the current consolidation to give a similar 2.0 Fibonacci extension Target at 5370, such as the May 10 High. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇Longby TradingShot15
Add long SQQQ May 31st $10.50+ Calls HereI bought long SQQQ $10-$10.50 May 24th to 31st calls this morning, if we hit 5400 i'll add. The VIX is bouncing as suspected at $12 and the S&P500 wants to dip below and confirm a 5300 fake out which was my bias and the DOW (DJIA) wants to do the same at 40k bitcoin is faking out above 67500 into an expanded flat pointing to my 63,300-63,500 short term short trajectory Shortby candlestickninja2
The US500 is very interesting right nowThe index has made the abc correction I expected. This is a necessary abc drop to start reaching new heights. One of the most important things to understand when looking to buy various popular stocks. Also applies to Bitcoin. PS this index is designed to go up forever, at least as long as we exist on this planet. Pure logical thinking.Longby MoralDiscipleUpdated 4412
Fib LevelsNot even gonna guess how high will it fly. Got higher than we expected already. Smoked bears, gone into hibernation. Here are the fib levels for your consideration. Notice price approaches the top Bolly Band. Not a lot of room left to squeeze but it could pump higher. Not overbought yet. Short when it gets there. Bewary.by DaddySawbucksUpdated 2216
Watch Us Trade A Bear (or Bull for those in denial) MarketWe firmly believe that the major stock indexes have a very dire Macro outlook. We will not go into details here (see our other posts) but with the market heading for a downturn we thought it would be awesome to show other small retail investors (thats what we are) that there is nothing to fear. Well nothing to fear other than blowing up your account- we do not plan to do that though lol. Ok so we are going to keep this simple. Here goes: -We are going to take a small $500 account and grow it -We will only trade stocks, etfs, etc- NO OPTIONS TRADING -We will post a screenshot of our real positions- wins AND losses -We will chart the positions on trading view so we can track the progress in real time BTW- the screenshots are all the proof we will provide that the trades are real. We dont care if someone thinks its fake And thats it... We will begin at market open on 05/14/24 by Heartbeat_TradingUpdated 15
New all time highs in MaySPX is heading to new all time high by May 21. Invalidated if breaks below Apr 19 low.Longby AlbCMUpdated 556
SPX: And Mrs. Market says not yet!!Well, my previous idea for a higher degree wave 4 got busted! Market is not ready to be bearish just yet. On Friday we got a breakout from the trendline resistance and retest. Next week we should expect a move upwards toward the next resistance at 5402. However, it seems like Market is poised to run towards the 1.236 fib extension of waves AB which is also around the 0.618 fib extension of Primary waves 1 and 2. If the contracting diagonal theory is correct, then that would be an area of interest to see the market turn for a bigger correction. If market decides to blow through those levels, then we need to rethink this whole count and maybe get even more bullish. For now, still looking for a higher degree top and a good 25%-30% correction in the next few months. Longby mukit13
SPX 15min Wave (B)Here we are once again. Another bear market? What do you think? 2-3 years? What is S&P 500? The S&P 500 is a market-cap weighted stock index constructed to track the share price performance of the top 500 large-cap U.S. equities. Longby TheCryptoChartWhispererUpdated 2
SPX Is Going Down! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for SPX. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,303.24. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,089.73. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!Shortby SignalProviderUpdated 336
SPX500 - Bullish Stancehe SPX500 has undergone a consolidation phase after a bullish trend, displaying choppy price movements. Notable patterns emerged, including a triple top formation with bearish divergence followed by an ascending triangle, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend. Amidst cautious trading sentiments, a failed breakout from the triangle pattern hinted at a possible rectangle formation, supporting bullish continuation. Currently, the market has broken above the triple top, presenting a favorable opportunity for long positions, either immediately or upon a retest of the support level. With minimal resistance ahead, traders can consider riding the bullish momentum until signs of bearishness materialize, thereby capitalizing on the prevailing uptrend.Longby AnalytixEdgeByQasimUpdated 1
Bad data is good data... but for how long?Following better-than-expected inflation print for April 2024, investors found once again an excuse for relatively bad data to be good for the market in anticipation of rate cuts, causing the S&P 500 Index (SPX) and other indices to soar to new all-time highs. However, just three or four months ago, the general expectations were for seven rate cuts in 2024, something we quickly ruled out when these assumptions emerged. After data in the first quarter revealed sticky inflation numbers, these expectations dropped dramatically to only one or two rate cuts by the year’s end. Thus, by now, it should probably be out of the question whether the Federal Reserve will continue to prioritize controlling inflation over unemployment, which has also been slowly rising. In fact, the unemployment rate rose to 3.9% last month, reaching the highest level since early 2022, when excluding the same print for February 2024. Yet, while the 0.5% increase from the lows does not seem significant, historically, a 1% rise in unemployment has been typically accompanied by a recession. Therefore, even though the rate of increase is slow, unemployment is moving in a concerning direction. Besides that, U-6 unemployment is growing much faster, and there are many other discrepancies in the labor market data, which could potentially hint at a much worse state of the economy that is being reported. Illustration 1.01 The monthly graph of the unemployment rate in the United States is shown above. Another interesting detail is that retail sales remained unchanged in April 2024 from the previous month, and the yearly change amounted to 3%, while inflation rose by 3.4% during the same period. In addition to that, the United States ISM PMI contracted last month, and expansion in the United States S&P Global Composite PMI eased. Again, while these are not outright horrible developments, the economic slowdown will likely become even more apparent in the coming months as the FED keeps a tight monetary policy for longer, putting additional pressure on economic activity and exacerbating the challenges faced by various sectors and consumers. With that, the question lingers over how much longer investors will continue to interpret bad data as good in anticipation of something that is not coming and will only serve to confirm the economy is really not faring that well when it comes. Illustration 1.02 One of the challenges in the current environment is debt servicing. This fact is strongly reflected in soaring delinquencies on credit card loans, which have nearly doubled since the Federal Reserve started the hiking cycle. Technical conditions Daily time frame = Bullish Weekly time frame = Bullish Monthly time frame = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade. Longby Tradersweekly11
S&P500 VISION 22/05 On May 15, the SPX500 index broke through its previous ATH of 5286. I had announced this a few days earlier in one of my analyses. For the past 1 week, we've been in an accumulation phase (which is normal, given what's just happened). Here's the configuration I'm expecting: ✅ Liquidation of the bottom of the range ✅ Return to Fibonacci 0.62 ✅ Reaction on H1 order block I'd therefore prefer to buy in the $5250 area! Feel free to subscribe and put a boost on this post if you enjoyed my analysis, and let me know what you think! Good trading and have a good week :)Longby InfiniteY4
SPX Big Short 2Two years after my last big short on SPX, the price has once again reached the top of the ascending channel. Based on this scenario , the expectation is that SPX will peak within the next two months , around early May 2024. Initial target 4,800, stretch 4,400 Incidentally, Bitcoin appears poised to surpass its 2021 all-time high, during which Bitcoin peaked two months prior to the SPX 2022 high. Coincidence? Possibly Best, Hard Forky Shortby hardforkyUpdated 11
Simple multitimeframe for US500, S&P 500 Index☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!! The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌 ☝️ALL ideas and videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!Longby Yelli_tradesUpdated 112