Everything is Just Beginning: Why the War-Driven Rally is a Trap
Hey everyone,
The war in the Middle East, which I have been warning about throughout 2025, has begun. But to the surprise of many, the markets did not collapse. On the contrary, we saw a rally in cryptocurrency and gold, while indices only corrected slightly.
Just 5 min read it I warned you long

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Gold (XAU/USD): Safehaven flows favour Dollar โ will $5k hold?Gold took a serious hit yesterday, falling sharply despite the massive geopolitical escalation in the Middle East. Why? Because the resulting energy shock is inherently inflationary, and safe-haven flows are currently pouring into the US Dollar instead.
However, XAU/USD has found a critical floor a
Is Apple Rolling Over?Apple has done little for a long time, and some traders may think the tech giant is rolling over.
The first pattern on todayโs chart is the weekly close of $278.78 on December 5. AAPL tried to cross above that level the following week but failed. It was revisited early last month without breaking.
Microsoft - One of the best swingtrades ever!๐ตMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is setting up for something big:
๐Analysis summary:
For over six months, Microsoft has clearly been creating a healthy correction. But looking at higher timeframe structure, Microsoft is also currently retesting a major support area. If we see bullish confirmation s
BITCOIN at $50k would follow exactly the 2022 script.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to replicate the 2022 Bear Cycle, in fact it's been repeating the price action even before it as the build up sequence since 2021 is identical to the one of late 2024 - 2025.
BTC is right now at the 2nd Stage of consolidation right above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Oil Gaps Into Multi-Year ResistanceWith conflict erupting in the Middle East over the weekend, the gap higher in oil prices is hardly surprising. But while sudden price moves tend to attract traders like moths to a flame, moments like this are exactly when context becomes most important.
Geopolitics jolts energy markets
Energy
Gold โ Volatility Risks Increase Due to Iran ConflictIt could be argued that geopolitics werenโt considered a primary driver of Gold through much of February. The focus for traders was more on positioning, shifting Federal Reserve interest rate expectations and the jolt of uncertainty that followed the US Supreme Courtโs decision to strike down Presid
S&P and a very timely correction for the U.S. presidentWith the start of the boxing match between the U.S. and the regime in Iran in the Middle East ring, and with rising threats around the Strait of Hormuz, around 20โ30% of global oil and gas supply could be disruptedโat least in the coming week (hopefully not for long).
Usually, these kinds of tensio
Bitcoin - War in Dubai, Bitcoin crash soon! (pump after that)The current war between Iran and the UAE (Dubai) will probably send the price of Bitcoin (and all altcoins) down! Dubai has been one of the most secure places in the world, but with the current attacks, people may lose trust, and the housing market could collapse in this country. Dubai is known as a
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Swing Profile is a dynamic swing-based volume profiling tool that builds a complete volume profile for each completed market swing.
Instead of using fixed sessions or time ranges, the indicator anchors its profile strictly between confirmed swing highs and swing lows, allowing tra
[MAD] Gann o MaticusGannomat โ Full Automated Gann Grids & Astro Cycles
Automatic Gann quadrant boxes with geometric arc projections. Cycle boundaries from standard timeframes or real planetary astronomy.
Thanks BarefootJoey, master of Astrolib
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Breakout Volume Delta is an indicator that measures breakout strength using lower-timeframe volume delta. It estimates buyer vs. seller participation within the breakout candle by summing bullish and bearish sub-candle volumes, then visualizes that dominance by splitting the candl
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IMPORTANT!
This uses the new request.footprint() call, which ma
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The Earnings Snapshot is a custom indicator designed to provide traders and investors with a quick, visual overview of a stock's earnings performance and its impact on price action. This tool automates the analysis of earnings reports by fetching historical and future earnings data,
Market Structure Dashboard | Flux ChartsGENERAL OVERVIEW
Market Structure Dashboard is a multi-timeframe market structure analysis indicator. It combines EMA trend detection, swing high/low tracking, market structure labels, Order Block detection, Fair Value Gap detection, liquidity sweep detection, volume analysis, volatility analysis,
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Smart NR2โNR20 + Inside Bar (Zeiierman) is a compression + breakout scanner that searches for the tightest Narrow Range (NR) condition across NR2โฆNR20, plus optional Inside Bar detection. When a valid compression forms, it draws a box around the setup, projects the high/low levels for
TASC 2026.03 One Percent A Weekโ OVERVIEW
This script implements "A High-Probability Weekly Trading Strategy For TQQQ" as dictated in the March 2026 edition of the TASC Traders' Tips , "Trading Snapbacks In A Leveraged ETFโ. In this article the author creates a mean reversion strategy intended for systematic and discretionary
Smart Trader, Concentric Candles & Aristotelian Cycloids
Smart Trader, Episode 05
Concentric Candles & Aristotelian Cycloids
by Ata Sabanci
The Spark โ How a 2,000-Year-Old Paradox Found the Charts
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It started with a film about Aristotle's Wheel
Paradox โ a problem that puzzled mathematicians
for two mille
MovingAveragesLibrary "MovingAverages"
A collection of O(1) numerically stable moving averages that support anchors and fractional lengths up to 100k bars.
Pine Script has a robust set of moving averages suitable for a majority of cases, making these alternatives useful only if you need anchoring, fractional
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Community trends
๏ปฟAlibaba - Another textbook swingtrade!๐Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) creates another break and retest:
๐Analysis summary:
Just a couple of months ago, Alibaba retested a major horizontal resistance. And with the recent expected rejection of about -30%, Alibaba is creating another bullish break and retest. Give it some time but Alibaba lo
GOOGLE is triggering a massive correction to $200.Last time we looked at Google (GOOG) was 1.5 month ago (January 20, see chart below), issuing a Sell Signal right at the top of its long-term Channel Up pattern:
So far the market reacted very favorably, with the price on a non-stop decline since. That bring us to today, marginally breaking its
ADBE Weekly FVG Filled โ Pullback Incoming Before Next Leg Up?
Today the weekly FVG we talked about got fully filled (lower imbalance ~$270-285 is done).
Whatโs next? Pullback/retrace to digest, or straight continuation to the upper gap (~$305-325)?
My take: Iโm seeing some deceleration in momentum already โ price is slowing down a bit after the fill. With e
GOOG About to CRACK!GOOG ran hard, parabolic out of a channel, and now the structure is telling a different story. Classic head-and-shoulders forming right at $300. No CRACK yet. But the setup is clean and the risk/reward is not in the bulls' favor right now. Wait for the CRACK!
What happens if $300 becomes permanen
42 Green Signals, 194x Parabolic Target, EMA Clean Sweep42 Green Signals, 194x Parabolic Target, EMA Clean Sweep
Price is at 4623.00, sitting at 46.4% of its historical range between 3870.59 and 5492.11. Deep Bull at 67.89% with 42 green vs 7 red out of 112. EMA is 7:1 โ nearly a clean sweep across all timeframes. Ichimoku 11:3, C>T 12:2, candles 10:1.
TSLAMajority of investors are following AI on trades.
AI's peak, in my estimation, is a glorified secretary.
I believe they'll all signal sell around the same time, leaving a waterfall sell-off, similar to COVID.
This should be the last global market free-fall event, before investors wise up.
Fairly c
Ondas Is Up 1,000%+ Over 12 Months. What Its Chart Says NowThe U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict has created volatility for defense-oriented stocks like drone-maker Ondas NASDAQ:ONDS , which rose some 6% Monday but has gone up and down ever since, although it's up 1,000%+ over 12 months. Let's see what the stock's fundamental and technical analysis shows.
Ondas'
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๏ปฟEverything is Just Beginning: Why the War-Driven Rally is a Trap
Hey everyone,
The war in the Middle East, which I have been warning about throughout 2025, has begun. But to the surprise of many, the markets did not collapse. On the contrary, we saw a rally in cryptocurrency and gold, while indices only corrected slightly.
Just 5 min read it I warned you long
BTC in trap area before testing bottom again BTC / USDT
This might seem like a breakout to many , but to me, Bitcoin doesn't typically exhibit simple breakouts like this; it looks more like a liquidity zone or a trap. News about wars and energy in the Middle East is also a catalyst.
What next ?
I see we'll retest the bottom of the horizo
BTC: The Upward Movement Has Just BegunBTC: The Upward Movement Has Just Begun
From our previous analysis, BTC broke out of a rising flag pattern and after spending some time in correction made an aggressive upward move.
Currently, the price is taking another pause, but in my opinion, this time it may spend less time in correction bef
Bitcoin 4H Chart โ Key Support & Resistance Levels with Bullish On the 4-hour timeframe of BTC/USD, price is currently trading near the 69,227 key support zone after a strong corrective move. The market structure shows consolidation above strong support at 62,851, indicating potential accumulation.
Immediate resistance levels are placed at 74,120 and 79,194, fol
March Altcoin Analysis Request โ Limited SlotsGlobal tension and ongoing geopolitical conflicts are currently creating extreme uncertainty across financial markets. With increasing instability around the world, market structure has become more reactive, volatile, and difficult to predict, especially within the crypto sector.
Because of this en
BTCUSDT Short: Pullback Scenario Toward 71,200 Before Next MoveHello traders! Hereโs my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (1H) chart structure. Bitcoin previously moved within a clearly defined descending channel, where price consistently printed lower highs and lower lows, confirming sustained bearish pressure during that phase. Sellers controlled
Bitcoin - Holding the Midpoint, Eyes on Higher LiquidityMarket Overview
Bitcoin delivered a strong impulsive move to the downside, followed by a clear slowdown in bearish momentum. After that displacement, price did not continue aggressively lower. Instead, it transitioned into a consolidation phase, suggesting the sell side completed its expansion but
BTCUSDT: From Downward Channel to Upward ExpansionHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
Bitcoin previously experienced a strong bearish phase, declining sharply from the upper price region and entering a well-defined downward channel. Within this structure, price consistently formed lower highs and lo
Bitcoin Price Update โ Clean & Clear ExplanationBitcoin where price recently experienced a strong bullish rally before encountering resistance and starting a short-term pullback.
Technically, Bitcoin surged with strong momentum and reached a key resistance zone around 73,000 โ 74,000, where sellers stepped in and rejected higher prices. After th
Bitcoin Is Building Pressure Below Resistance zoneBitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) in the past few days has shown a very high correlation with U.S. indices, especially the S&P 500 index( FX:SPX500 ), so that whenever we see a sharp movement or strong momentum in that index, Bitcoin quickly moves in tandem. Now, based on the data on the chart, Iโm going t
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XAUUSD: Trend Line Support Could Trigger New Move Toward 5,280Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
Gold previously showed a strong bullish impulse, moving higher from the lower price region while respecting a well-defined ascending trend line. During this move, the market repeatedly created higher lows, confirmin
XAU/USD | Gold Extreme Volatility โ $5420 Spike Then $4995 Drop!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after the war headlines hit the market, Gold experienced extreme volatility. Price initially surged aggressively toward the $5420 level, creating a strong impulsive move to the upside.
During this move, a price gap was formed bet
GOLD 1H CHART MARKET ANALYSISHey everyone,
Please see our 1H chart route map.
Price is currently ranging between 5198 and 5082, moving back and forth within this zone. The 5198 level was tested and rejected, as we did not get an EMA5 lock above the level, which confirmed the rejection and pushed price back toward 5082.
If pr
Gold Price Analysis โ Key Resistance and Support LevelsThis chart outlines critical price levels for gold, with Resistance Zone at 5,190, where a potential price reversal or breakout could occur. The Critical Support at 5,148 is key for determining whether the bullish trend will continue or further downside will occur. Extreme Support at 5,115 represent
XAUUSD โ Dollar Strength Meets Key XAUUSD โ Dollar Strength Meets Key Liquidity Zone
Gold is currently trading around 5150 while the US Dollar Index strengthens near 99.00, supported by rising geopolitical tension in the Middle East and stronger-than-expected US services data.
This macro backdrop creates a challenging environment f
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )โกBase : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect โonly logic.
โ๏ธ Technical Reasons
/ Direction โ LONG / 5130 Reversal Area
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
This takes a lot of guts to hold and immense money management skills to get to the levels but it's getting there. We managed to capture the turn earlier in the week and ultimately we hit the lower box as we wanted, but it wasn't without very choppy price acti
Lingrid | GOLD Shakeout Done: Could Bulls Take Over Next?๐ฌ Structure: powerful advance within an ascending channel โ sudden liquidation spike โ stabilization near a major structural floor.
The market found footing around the intersection of the rising channel boundary and prior structural support.
๐ Key levels
Resistance: 5,270.000โ5,275
Support: 5,100โ
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to MAX wave "2" 5416.Colleagues, over the past few days, I have been studying the gold chart and trying to understand whether the large โVโ wave will be truncated or whether we will see a new high of 5593.
Judging by the structure, wave โ3โ (red) is stretching, and now I expect the upward movement in wave โ3โ of the mid
Gold: Breakout and Potential Retrace! Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 5,110 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 5,110 support and resistance area.
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GBPUSD Daily CLS - Model 2 (Countertrend - 1/2 risk)Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50%
EUR/CAD - Bearish Flag (05.03.2026)๐ Descriptionโ
Setu p FX:EURCAD
EURCAD on the M30 timeframe is forming a bearish flag pattern, which typically signals a continuation of the prior downtrend.
Key observations from the chart:
โ Strong impulsive bearish move (flag pole)
โ Consolidation forming an ascending flag channel
โ Price tr
Euro Bears Still in Control Despite Support Reaction, Aim 1.1530Hello traders! Hereโs my technical outlook based on the current EURUSD (4H) chart structure. Price initially traded inside a well-defined descending channel, where sellers maintained control and the market consistently printed lower highs and lower lows. During this phase, every upward correction wa
GBPUSD GBP ANALYSIS ( MUST READ IT )Hello traders
Here's my first idea about GBPUSD GBP and what do think about it ? Kindly share your idea about GBPUSD GBP with me in comment section
Key Points ๐
Support zone : 1.32700 / 1.32490
First Target 1.34000
Second Target 1.34600
Don't forget to share this with your friends and family a
Eliana | EURUSD ยท 4H โ Demand Reaction After Liquidity SweepFX:EURUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
EURUSD has reacted strongly from the 1.1520โ1.1560 demand zone after sweeping sell-side liquidity. The market is currently attempting to stabilize above demand while targeting the previous structure range above.
Market Overview
Price previously rej
EURUSD Long: Holding Demand Opens Door for Upside CorrectionHello traders! Hereโs my technical outlook based on the current EURUSD (2H) chart structure. Price initially traded inside a broad horizontal range, where the market showed balance between buyers and sellers. Within this range, price respected both the upper and lower boundaries, signaling consolida
GBPJPY Rally Into Sell Zone | Safe-Haven Flows RisingHey Traders,
In todayโs trading session, we are monitoring GBPJPY for a potential selling opportunity around the 209.900 zone.
GBPJPY remains in a clear downtrend and is currently undergoing a corrective pullback, approaching a key trendline confluence and the 209.900 supportโresistance zone. This
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )โกBase : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect โonly logic.
โ๏ธ Technical Reasons
/ Direction โ LONG / Reversal 157.050 A
EURUSD: Descending Structure Favors Further Decline To 1.1530Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD previously traded inside a clearly defined downward channel, where sellers maintained control and price consistently formed lower highs and lower lows. This structure reflected sustained bearish pressure as t
CHF/JPY: Strong Trend Following PatternThe ๐CHFJPY pair is currently trading on a strong bullish trend.
The price has recently retested a support rising trend line.
The market formed a double bottom pattern on an 4H time frame on that
and violated its neckline.
It is anticipated that the pair will continue its bullish trend, with the
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