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timwest
Jan 9, 2015 4:28 PM

Apple Inc - AAPL - Quarterly Earnings Window Graphed 

Apple Inc.NASDAQ

Description

Last 9 quarters of movement AFTER earnings were reported.

If you bought the close of the DAY AFTER earnings and sold the day close of the day TWO DAYS BEFORE earnings, you would have experienced the following "PROFIT (DARK GREEN), and PAPER PROFIT PEAK (Light Green) and PAPER LOSS (LIGHT RED) and LOSS (DARK RED).

I thought this would be an interesting way to look at AAPL so you could see a specific strategy and the returns earned experienced and earned/lost over each quarterly earnings time window.

Cheers.

Tim 11:27AM 110.83 last AAPL Jan 9, 2015
Comments
Mr_DL
Really you should have shorted YHOO instead.
AAPL has that crazy cult thing behind it.
Not comfortable to short
NASDboy
You may know a thing or two about analyzing charts, and I respect that, but AAPL is not a stock that can trick a well experienced chart analyst like yourself, or even a computer. When you trade Apple you just look at it from a different perspective, to see that bigger picture. You really think Carl will just sit here and watch this going to $98? If that was the case he would have sold his shares when this hit 119.75. So I appreciate the effort, but no you really SHOULD NOT short Apple. And if you do dare I suggest you load up on those calls. Good luck. Oh and today it's January 9th, by ER or after the ER this will be $120 or more. I will talk to you by then Mr West.
NASDboy
I meant to say "Apple is a stock" not "apple is not a stock" , had a typo there, I was replying from my phone.
timwest
Feel free to express your opinion and put up your own chart to back up how you see things. Please don't tell me what I "SHOULD" or "SHOULD NOT" do because that is just your opinion. My long term success in AAPL is the result of thinking differently from the crowd. I was famously bearish as AAPL was turning down from it's peak two years ago and then also turned constructive and bullish very close to the bottom and labeled it similarly to the post-1987 crash bottom, which was a great call. I don't put a lot of ego on the line on any trade. I just call them how I see them. Good luck to you.
NASDboy
and i bet here you are buying apple knowing it will be 120 in a few weeks.
timwest
I think the steady stream of no risk and all-return is going to disappear or "invert" next quarter based on a loss of momentum and of unattractive valuation.
timwest
Note how small the red zone is compared to the green zone for the past long streak of quarterly profits.
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