There is no simple solution to making money in the market in the long run. Think independently. Figure out what people are doing without thinking and take the other side of their "no thinking" trade.
In this trade setup, I think the "no-thinking" crowd is just using every 10% rally to sell short. Now with AAPL sitting on a very different valuation than last year and earning a decent return on equity, the prospects for AAPL shares are better. The net valuation of AAPL is roughly $300 billion ($423 billion market capitalization of equity, less $130 billion in cash, is roughly $300 billion). AAPL made $17 billion or nearly 6% return on "net equity" in just the last quarter ending Dec 2012. This 6% is an attractive return when you consider that most stocks don't even make a 6% return on equity in an entire year. A P/E of 16 is the equivalent to a 6% yield.
I like my odds down here in AAPL . Short sellers prepare for "something different" this time.
Tim 1:29PM EST, March 19, 2013 449.45 last AAPL