Today's price action took AAPL up to confluence of 50% resistance, prior from April 2012 of $644 as well as TL extension backtest. Counter trend traders could look to short this area with a stop on a close above $645.
I like your analysis, been to Tim Morge training on pitchforks, did not follow him much I am a bit slow and dyslexic. I do think however that AAPL has some potential with the developers conference, although the past has shown it trades down from there, they also have some potential per their Sr VP that they have the "BEST" product cycle in pipeline in 25 years- that is saying A LOT. Also a 7:1 split on a cheap stock like AAPL is a momentum play. If the NAZ helps I think they could have a 20-30 point week next week up..however if they fizzle on the conference who knows. I said it would run from the 590s to the 650 area which was close today and very profitable on options...so will see how pitch works...I am thinking we could get a run into Friday and then if sell off it will most likely dip on Monday following split, if runs hard into split will pop on June 9th early I think. Anyway I am working on trading what is..not what I think LOL cheers mate