So I wanted to share with you just a small tip .. You did a small mistake not to include some 'noise' wicks in your projection.
The mid June bounce you had been expected should be for the end June bounce not earlier and only after hitting the 15.99 - 16.57 range (check the daily candlestick open & high of 01JUNE).
so hopefully we will have the end of June bounce as expected by next week & try from there to reach new short term ( 3 months) highs . Trade safe..
P.S: Could you please do again one for carnival .. I miss them.