tradersmentality

ACB 50/50 Probability - Breakout Mode

NYSE:ACB   AURORA CANNABIS INC
ACB NYSE is currently in the dead center of the bull flag trading range, and a converging triangle. This is where the directional probability is very close to 50/50. However the bulls have a slight advantage because it is a bull flag trading range, and there are bull gaps below. Prices are currently stalling at the failed bear reversal, where trapped bears may soon buy and contribute to a rally. However there is no valid but setup yet this week. The Bears want a test of the 5 low, and to fill the bull breakout gap. If this gap is filled, it will decrease the bull strength and prices will likely remain range bound for the next 20-40 bars. If instead the bulls keep the breakout gap open and form a higher low in the coming weeks, it will increase the probability of a test of the all time high and possibly bull trend continuation. But since prices are in a trading range, there will probably be some profit taking and short selling at a new all time high, unless the bull rally and breakout is exceptional.

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