Description
⋅ Conviction: 3/5
Overall still in LT (2009) down channel, so trade is quite risky... you are trading against the trend...
HOWEVER:
- bounced off MT (2018) trend support
- RSI looks pretty good
- SPY ourperformance against world is pretty outrageous in the last 2 years, so some mean-reversion is likely
Trade duration... 3-5 months.
Much better trade is to wait for breakout confirmation, and wait for entry from likely retest.