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TA-Vision
Apr 15, 2020 1:38 PM

AEX: the balloon starts to tear !  Short

AEX-IndexEuronext

Description

Hi everyone

The time has come, a first short signal in a long time, we have had to wait a long time.
See in the graph that the MA50 (orange line) served as a support for the upward movement for a long time, has not been able to keep today. An upward trend line has also been broken, which reinforces the whole.

Initially we focus on 482 then on to 455 these are support / resistance zones, eventually my longer term target is on a retest of 390 but we are not there yet, step by step again

If there is still a small revival, the ascending earlier support line will now serve as resistance, here shorts can still be bought if one was late

resistance: MA50 / MA20
505/513/530


support zone targets: 482/455/430/390

Good luck traders!


I regularly update my ideas, so don't hesitate to follow.
I also appreciate your opinions, thanks!

Regards,

TT

Comment

Hi, a torn balloon can fly up in all directions.
This increase today is quite unexpected given the earlier short signal, it will remain for a while, why?
At this moment there is another gap around 500 that has yet to be closed at the top, there is now resistance / retest of the previously broken support line. see the update of the graph.
So back to 500 here the sequel becomes important






Comment

Hi, the gap at 500 is still not closed because of the MA50 which again provides support. We have to wait for a 2nd short signal under this MA50, so we have to take into account that a breakthrough through 513 is also possible. Patience! usually large movements come out of nowhere


Comment

Hi, after closing the gap at 500, the decline has not yet started, this is due to the support points seen in the RSI (the market is still too powerful probably because of the stimulus packages), a 2nd short signal remains for now. Indeed the still open gap at 530 seems to be starting to pull like a magnet, it has been waiting for an outbreak above 513 above, if not the focus will remain down. For the longer term, I still see a search for a lower term top!


Comment

Hi, yesterday it was almost time, after the outbreak above 513 this immediately returned, resulting in a false outbreak. Today an attempt is made to rise again. it just indicates how important this phase is at the moment. The RSI indicates no weakening yet, but the question is how long this can be sustained.


Comment

Hi, I just want to mention that in the day chart the resistance is now manifested by the MA50!

Comments
sebapao
Let's see how it goes, the V shape recovery seems to fake to be true. Lot of manipulation going on. BIgger crash will come in Q2
CJ888
@sebapao I think so too, fake outs and struggling to go up.
CJ888
Pure FA manipulation, we'll get there. BTW do you take FA into consideration?
TA-Vision
@CJ888, Indeed, I also take FA into account but I cannot predict. Today is also expiration day which also has an influence. thanks for your comment !
azoffdonn
On top of it again, will be watching this @TA-Vision
Happy trading
CJ888
Good call mate!
TA-Vision
@CJ888, thanks ! ;)
CJ888
Can you explain what that means? MA50 on the daily?
TA-Vision
@CJ888, in the day chart you can see the orange line, this is the MA50. above would generate a longer term buy signal, hence the fight now around this line.
CJ888
Appreciate the comment sir!
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