TradingView
Mattyx227
Jun 25, 2021 3:21 PM

$AMD bullish again? Here's the analysis. Long

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.NASDAQ

Description

Hello everyone,

AMD has been an outperformer since it tested the 73 support multiple time earlier this year. It broke out of a 6 months long downtrend line in 2020 November and is currently backtesting it (thick yellow line). This may indicate the strong hyper momentum semiconductor stock is ready for another powerful rally.


Disclaimer: I personally hold AMD shares so this analysis is biased toward the bull side.

Pros:
- Downtrend line broken and currently holding the ratest
- Lightning bolts price action, a classic bull flag that points toward 89-91 areas.
- Tech and growth being in favor again with the easing of inflation fear.
- Trading lower than my valuation of 96 - 110, note that this valuation is subjective and priced in with a high PE ratio.

Cons:
- R/R ratio for the trade right now is not favorable to the bull until it clears 89 - 94 resistance
- Slight bearish divergence on the RSI
- Change in monetary policy could have a negative impact on tech stocks again.
- Market breadth across shows bearish signs as not most stocks are above 50EMA

Summary: Technicals of AMD are favoring the bulls and stock outperformance has not changed for the short term.

For holders: Monitor price action around 89 - 94 resistance, you should up your expectation with recent technicals

For non-holders: Buy around 81 - 83 as the previous resistance areas are likely becoming support.


Comments
zAngus
Good chart. Good accompanying analysis. Thank you for contributing to the community.
Mattyx227
@Angusmck thank you 🙏 we’re all here to learn from each other
Garshmo
Everyone is pumping Nvidia it’s only matter of time before AMD gets looked at like it’s on sale, then you’ll have 100 by end of year
Mattyx227
@GeeHarveyOswald Yep, great company but too many resistance areas stopping the price from going straight up like Nvidia
zAngus
@Mattyx227, NVIDIA is getting an artificial pump because of the impending stock split.
More