Amazon: Momentum Shift

In the first weeks of the year, Amazon's stock continued its upward trajectory. However, this upward momentum came to a halt last Tuesday. Since then, the bears have taken charge and thus align more closely with our primary scenario, which calls for the current downtrend to persist, with the low of the beige wave IV forming just above the support at $160.50. Afterward, we anticipate an upward movement in the same-colored wave V, which should eventually lead to the peak of the larger blue wave (V). Our alternative scenario, however, suggests that the stock could directly break through the resistance at $259. In this case, we would consider the low of the beige wave alt.IV as already established (probability: 33%).