Bought the bull flag on ANET / wedge pop
Earnings is monday AMC but so I am literally giving it a monday to hopefully move enough to hold a bit . 1.5 R gives me 1/4 carryover, 1R gives me a 1/6 , anything under that is just going to be sold . I have done the math on this and it allows for a 4 R gap down unscathed ... if earnings reaction bad ...
In my opinion 1.5 R , sell 3/4 , hold 1/4 is the best , holding 1/4 your balance still needs to go 4X 1R to equal 1R , so I sort of feel like its feels like a good bare minimum threshold level to carry over a responsible amount whereas 1R could work but then your balance needs to move 6R to equal 1R . For me , personally , I think that I will gravitate to 1.5R sell 3/4 , hold 1/4 , as a more typical procedure but still figuring it out ....
Time for a hike for me now , have a good weekend ~
QQQ note :
Maybe next week we might actually break up too , back in the trading range breakout mode on QQQ again for now . So far with this multi week range , Al brook 80 % rule has really been spot on , that being that 80 % of the time trading range breakouts fail to have follow-through looks like we might close at the top again today , which would mark the third attempt at a breakout , none of the breakouts up or down have worked so far ... will this one be the 20% or the 80% , guess its better to expect the 80% but man would it be nice to get the 20 %
Earnings is monday AMC but so I am literally giving it a monday to hopefully move enough to hold a bit . 1.5 R gives me 1/4 carryover, 1R gives me a 1/6 , anything under that is just going to be sold . I have done the math on this and it allows for a 4 R gap down unscathed ... if earnings reaction bad ...
In my opinion 1.5 R , sell 3/4 , hold 1/4 is the best , holding 1/4 your balance still needs to go 4X 1R to equal 1R , so I sort of feel like its feels like a good bare minimum threshold level to carry over a responsible amount whereas 1R could work but then your balance needs to move 6R to equal 1R . For me , personally , I think that I will gravitate to 1.5R sell 3/4 , hold 1/4 , as a more typical procedure but still figuring it out ....
Time for a hike for me now , have a good weekend ~
QQQ note :
Maybe next week we might actually break up too , back in the trading range breakout mode on QQQ again for now . So far with this multi week range , Al brook 80 % rule has really been spot on , that being that 80 % of the time trading range breakouts fail to have follow-through looks like we might close at the top again today , which would mark the third attempt at a breakout , none of the breakouts up or down have worked so far ... will this one be the 20% or the 80% , guess its better to expect the 80% but man would it be nice to get the 20 %
Comment:
pardon me I had another look at QQQ and I would say this is 5th attempt to breakout of range
Trade closed manually
Comment:
ANET needed to go at least 1R to hold some per my plan so just got out in final minute today ... I never hold positions with that are not de risked through earning's
now . But I figured it was worth a try ...
now . But I figured it was worth a try ...
艾力克~