25% of the time it spends at 4500 sats , a nice 50% increase from the current price.
20% it spends at 6000 sats , a nice 100% increase. (sell half on this and ride to the moon for free)
If altseason comes again this year, you can pretty much be sure it will hit the 9000 or maybe even the 12000 sats level.
I would say this is a perfect zone to buy, it rarely dips below this range and if it does, it quickly bounces back up. Set 50% (4500 sats ) as your first target. I would sell 50% of my bag, sell another 25% at the 6000 sat level and keep the other 25% for 9000 or higher.