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Short

AUD/CHF -Sell Opportunity

FX:AUDCHF   Australian Dollar / Swiss Franc
What's up traders, I hope you're all having a good trading week.

Here we have AUD/CHF             on the 1H chart.

AUD/CHF             recently had a bearish impulse leg after a rally to the highs previously. Since then price has a small correction and has since started falling into the lows again. It looks like the downside will continue.

When price had it's correction, price hit the Fibonacci key retracement resistance level and once hit, there was a compelling bearish engulfing signal, indicating this retracement level was acting as a strong resistance ceiling. Since then, price has continued to fall.

Price already had a bearish outlook. When also coupled with the breakout of the support channel, this confirms the bears are around for the long run.

There is 2 scenarios for how this trade could play out. See below:

-Price breaks to the downside without pausing, and hits one of our support target levels at either: 0.7580, or, the extended support level at 0.7540.
-Price breaks down a little more, before having an upside move to retest the previous support turned resistance channel at 0.7620 before the down move begins. This is my preferred scenario, as a retest confirms the breakdown is legitimate and still in full force. It also allows us to get a good entry level for this trade.


Bare in mind, that when target #1 is hit, it will likely bounce, and possibly even retest the side-wards channel resistance at 0.7610 before the breakdown to the extension target.

I will be updating this analysis if it receives 40 likes.
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