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AUDCHF Fundamental Analysis – November 28th 2019

FX:AUDCHF   Australian Dollar / Swiss Franc
Australian Private Capital Expenditure posted a bigger-than-expected quarterly contraction. Australian Plant & Machinery Capital Expenditure posted a significant drop and erased the previous quarter’s increase. Despite the disappointing economic data set, the Australian Dollar remained well supported and the AUDCHF inside its resistance zone. Will bulls be able to lunch a breakout and extend the gains, or will bears prepare for a breakdown? Today’s fundamental analysis will take a look at price action in both directions.

The Swiss GDP for the third-quarter surprised to the upside and the quarterly increase clocked in at double the expected rate. This failed to significantly boost the Swiss Franc as comments out of the SNB regarding a potential interest rate cut dominate. The AUD/CHF remained stable inside its resistance zone, but which way is price action headed next and what will be the next catalyst? Subscribe to the PaxForex Daily Fundamental Analysis and earn over 5,000 pips per month.

KEY FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS FOR THE AUDCHF
Here is the key factor to keep in mind today for Australian Dollar trades:

Australian Capital Expenditure: Australian Private Capital Expenditure for the third-quarter decreased by 0.2% quarterly. Economists predicted a decrease of 0.1% quarterly. Forex traders can compare this to Australian Private Capital Expenditure for the second-quarter which decreased by 0.6% quarterly. Australian Building Capital Expenditure for the third-quarter increased by 2.7% quarterly. Forex traders can compare this to Australian Building Capital Expenditure for the second-quarter which decreased by 3.0% quarterly. Australian Plant & Machinery Capital Expenditure for the third-quarter decreased by 3.5% quarterly. Forex traders can compare this to Australian Plant & Machinery Capital Expenditure for the second-quarter which increased by 2.0% quarterly.
Here is the key factor to keep in mind today for Swiss Franc trades:

Swiss GDP: The Swiss GDP for the third-quarter increased by 0.4% quarterly and by 1.1% annualized. Economists predicted an increase of 0.2% quarterly and 0.8% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to the Swiss GDP for the second-quarter which increased by 0.3% quarterly and by 0.2% annualized.
Should price action for the AUDCHF remain inside the or breakdown below the 0.6750 to 0.6790 zone the following trade set-up is recommended:

Timeframe: D1
Recommendation: Short Position
Entry Level: Short Position @ 0.6760
Take Profit Zone: 0.6500 – 0.6545
Stop Loss Level: 0.6840
Should price action for the AUDCHF breakout above 0.6790 the following trade set-up is recommended:

Timeframe: D1
Recommendation: Long Position
Entry Level: Long Position @ 0.6840
Take Profit Zone: 0.6950 – 0.7020
Stop Loss Level: 0.6790
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