Australian Dollar / Swiss Franc
Long
Updated

AUDCHF Potential Long Setup #1 (High Probability Reaction)

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Clean and high-probability long setup on AUDCHF with multiple confluences lining up. Here is my breakdown:

1. Support Traits
- Multiple rejections (4 touches + 1 fake breakout)
- Newly formed support (close to previous structure)
- Strong reactions away from the level each time price touched it
- Very clean and obvious zone

2. Candlestick Signals
- Shrinking candles: sellers losing momentum
- Takuri line: seller take profit action
- Color change candle: buyers stepping in
- Doji / spinning bottom: indecision at support
- Inside bar: consolidation and profit-taking

3. Chart Pattern
- Break and retest of an Ascending Triangle
- Clear buyer dominance after breakout
- Price pulling back to the neckline/support

4. Supertrend Confirmation
- Price tapped the green Supertrend line, acting as uptrend support

5. Additional Confluences
- Trend trading: market remains in a clear uptrend
- Breakout momentum: buyers attempted multiple times, broke resistance, now retesting it as support

STOP LOSS
Set below:
- Candle wicks
- Supertrend line
- EMA 50
- Fibo 38.2%
(Strong multi-layer protection)

TAKE PROFIT
- Parallel trendline
- Fibo extension zone 50% - 61.8%
(High-probability reaction area)

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Disclaimer:
This post is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Trading and investing involve risk, and you should always do your own analysis before entering any trade. I am not responsible for any losses or decisions made based on this idea.
Trade active
Additional confluence: Anchored Volume supports this support level
snapshot
Note
Additional confluence – Weekly timeframe:
Symmetrical Triangle breakout aligned with a descending channel structure.
Strong bullish momentum confirmed with 3 consecutive growing candles and wide RSI & MACD divergence.
This adds higher-timeframe strength to the existing long setup.

Disclaimer

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