TradingView
kiwiwalnut
Apr 27, 2016 10:35 AM

Aussie Bias is Crazy Long

Australian Dollar/Japanese YenFXCM

Description

Despite crippling CPI data - I feel that there is still a strong bias on AUD.
Reasons why I believe AUD bias is still strong
- Commodities are up and futures still running high - speculated on or out, that's the direction of the market
- RBA still has plenty of room to move in interest rates and AU derived bonds still looking healthy in immediate short term
- Domestic labour market still in good shape and adjusting at good rate away from mining sectors.

Reasons why AUDJPY will go up:
- BOJ announcement tomorrow will be dovish no what as a proxy intervention to depreciate Yen
- Commodities rally leading to massive on risk market behaviour
- Because its Yen

Plan: Looking for price to touch .230 fib and trend support and sit out BOJ and watch price action.
Until commodities clam down - AUD will continue its slow rebound

Order cancelled

Lucky me
Comments
kiwiwalnut
Thanks for the comments!
This is a risky deposition no matter how it is viewed but keeping a watchful eye for break down to 84.000 ( just below .618 fib and above historical support ) that may end up being a false break
VladimirRibakov
let's see if we the channel will be respected again.
Regards
Var9999
carry trade is still always big on fomc days so..
More