dvdubrovsky

Australian Dollar at Risk as AUD/JPY Enters Downtrend?

FX_IDC:AUDJPY   Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen
The Australian Dollar may be vulnerable to the Japanese Yen following a couple of bearish technical developments. This follows a rejection of the 86.253 - 85.909 resistance zone.

AUD/JPY recently confirmed a breakout under the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement at 84.50 on the 4-hour chart. This also follows a bearish Death Cross between the 20- and 50-period Simple Moving Averages.

This has exposed the 38.2% level at 83.416. Still, prices remain above the 200-period line, which could reinstate the broader upside focus. On the other hand, breaking under it could open the door to extending losses towards the September low at 78.825.

Keep a close eye on the 82.028 - 81.662 inflection zone. The latter price is the 61.8% retracement.

Positive RSI divergence does show fading downside momentum, which can at times precede a turn higher.

Clearing 86.253 would open the door to resuming gains since August.

AUDJPY

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.