4xForecaster
Long

$AUD/$NZD S/T, M/T, L/T Forecast | #forex #RBA #RBNZ

FX:AUDNZD   Australian Dollar / New Zealand Dollar
1105 51 15
Friends,


WHAT MY ANALYSES IS AND IS NOT:

Before I gladly answer a request for a medium-term and short term predictive analysis and forecasting for this $AUDNZD pair, I would like to caution the trader by saying two things about the purpose and manner in which I render the predictive and forecasting values.

First: My predictive analyses and forecasts are educational - All of I offer is for advanced trades who have an already well-established habit of "planning their trade, then trading their plan". I am glad that it may be enjoyed by some as an added weight in the confidence they already have gained in their own practice, but the real purpose is purely educational and intellectual.

Second: My predictive analyses and forecast do NOT use pivots - I was recently asked why I do not show pivots in the analyses. The answer is simple: The values that are derived from the predictive/forecasting model are defined in terms of direction and strength outside of the price field. Meaning that a vector with confirmed direction and relative length is defined before I even lay eyes on a chart - That's quantitative analysis at its best.

As unreal as it may sound, in fact, my results tend to instead define future pivots , rather than be defined by former ones. Here is a perfect supportive example for this claim (which happens to be on the same $AUDNZD) - Simply click on the arrow within the price field, and see where price leads you as it moves forward. Now, click that arrow a few more times, and see how that level has turned into a pivot for future price development.

That trade was released on 21 MAR 2014, and carried the following profile:
Entry = 1.0637
Stop-Loss = 1.05747
Target = 1.09086
Reward-to-Risk = 4.4:1
Hit Dead-On on 16 APR             2014 (continued to act as a significant pivot moving forward).

Of course, there are other ways in which I provide predictive analyses and forecasts that may require time, but eventually, many of them will tend to arrive at destination. In this following unusual example, there were two bearish targets that were hit on 11 JUN and 12 JUN 2014, respectively with a shared forecast on 04 JUN. Yet, there was also a ("antipodal") target above whose forecast was released on the same day as the first two (04 JUN 2014), and eventually hit on 25 AUG 2014. This was one of the most unusual forecast as it took both the model and a proprietary pattern to define all these targets.


(... cont'd ... See Predictive analysis and forecasting for this chart within the discussion thread, immediately following ... )


David Alcindor - Predictive Analysis & Forecasting - Denver, Colorado - USA


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Twitter: @4xForecaster
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David Alcindor, CMT Affiliate #227974
Alias: 4xForecaster (Twitter, LinkedIn, StockTwits)

Signal Service or Private Course - Contact: MarketPredictiveAnalysis@gmail.com
All updates on https://twitter.com/4xForecaster
10 DEC 2014 - Fundamental News:


"New Zealand holds rate, sees further rise "at later stage"

Source: CentralBankNews.info
Link: http://dlvr.it/7nQvN5%22


David Alcindor
+2 Reply
kmk.msp 4xForecaster
so whats new about the bullish targets. kmk.msp
Reply