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TAS_is_Goliath_Capital_Growth
Dec 2, 2016 2:15 PM

AUDNZD Setup for a short Short

Australian Dollar/New Zealand DollarFXCM

Description

SETUP - Last week chart gave an entry. This week, for those who are not on the trade, entry could be given on the break of the horizontal blue dashed line.

Comment

Perfect retest of the break of the last trendline. continuing down.
Comments
RaidoR
Hey, do you have good reasoning why the price would break below the horizontal dashed line after the double-bottom has been established on this support level? The reason why im asking is that i've been counting waves also recently on this currency pair and i have a different count then yours - according to my count we should be in uptrend and in the 3rd 1H wave that is part of the 3rd 4H wave wich is a part of 3rd daily wave. Also checked history of audnzd and a double top/bottoms always are giving a bounce-back in price, mostly a longer trend change, more rarely a 300-400 pip bounce, so as we just had double bottom here, im personally expecting the price to go up from here.
TAS_is_Goliath_Capital_Growth
@RaidoR, Thanks for the comment. Double bottoms or tops, or any other pattern for that matter are only confirmed after the break of a previous high/low. Before a double bottom, I see a triangle. Feel free to share your chart here so I can see what you see.
RaidoR
@tas, I see what you mean, im very new at trading myself, so it's quite likely that im having the wrong count here. I guess the best thing here is to just wait for either the confirmation of double bottom or the brake-through of the support line on your chart and then re-evaluate the situation.

Here is my count so far though:

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