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tradewonk
Jan 11, 2017 3:02 PM

AUDNZD Short

Australian Dollar/New Zealand DollarFXCM

Description

Retest back into a fresh supply area. Possible retracement.

Stuff to remember:

— First look for significant move, then follow it to its origins where you might find a suitable level to evaluate further

— Make sure the initial move is significant on the same timeframe as the one you use for viewing your candidate level most clearly

— Check the distance that price traveled before the trend ended, longer distances mean larger initial imbalances and improved probabilities in the future

— The strong initial move can contain a few small retracements but not so many that make this move slow and weak

— Avoid opposing levels on the same and immediately higher timeframes, prefer to have a clear road ahead for your trade to run

— Make sure your level is placed correctly (low for Demand, high for Supply) in relation to the big picture's important tops and bottoms

— Trading the first return of price to a valid "fresh" level carries the highest probabilities due to the larger imbalance

— A valid level is considered "fresh" if price has not returned to it since its creation. It has nothing to do with how old the level is

— Trading only the first return of price to a valid, properly evaluated level can greatly increase your win ratio. Trading second or other subsequent returns will only dilute your trading edge.

Trade closed: target reached

Comments
livingdaylight
Hiya,

I lost track of this pair so I'm obliged for you bringing it to my attention again.
My concern with Supply is that it hasn't really achieved anything in terms of printing new lows or taking out demand.
So, I'll be looking a little higher on the Daily zone.
Let's see

tradewonk
@livingdaylight, It might will break through, but i think it will make a retracement first, which will make the opportunity to make short trade. I sold at 1.0570 and my rr is 1:1.8 at this trade.
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