USDJPY Sweep & AUDUSD Rally: The 2026 Roadmap

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In contrast, the AUDUSD has successfully transitioned through a long accumulation phase into a bullish expansion. The chart shows a decisive break above the previous Change of Character (CHoCH) level, with the price currently consolidating above the 0.7000 psychological mark. The RBA’s hawkish stance—marked by the March hike to 4.10%—is providing the fundamental "fuel" for this move. While the "red arrow" projection suggests a brief peak followed by a corrective pullback to the 0.6850 liquidity pool, this is viewed as a healthy retest of previous structural breaks. The surging risk appetite from the ceasefire news acts as a tailwind, supporting the pair's trajectory as it outperforms the softening Greenback.

Executive Summary: The market is currently rewarding "Risk" (AUD) and punishing "Safe Havens" (USD, JPY). For USDJPY, the move is a corrective dip seeking a deeper base before a potential climb to 161.50. For AUDUSD, the move is a breakout validation, where any near-term pullbacks are likely structural retests of the new bullish regime.
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