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Technician
Mar 10, 2015 1:12 AM

#AUDUSD: Following the Price Action | #forex 

Australian Dollar/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

Let me try to explain what do I mean by saying that my main indicator is the price.

  • The AUDUSD continues the journey within the main bearish channel.
  • The Structure of lower highs and lower lows remain intact, and continues to evolve.
  • The price resumed the bearish trend after completing a pullback towards the resistance of the channel just below the 50-days SMA, where it formed a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern.
  • The pair continued to move lower to break 0.7740 horizontal support
  • The next potential support level and target at 0.7625(The Dragonfly doji low)
  • A break below 0.7625 confirm more downside and a potential target at 1.618 extension(0.7448)
  • The channel resistance should remain intact for this scenario to remain valid


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Technician
Comments
MuathAlBulbul
Waiting cautiously to see if 0.7600 holds, I am leaning on shorting this pair, but let's wait and see!
Currently trading at 0.7638
wwfm
its will go up if Feb job report comes with good numbers
Technician
yeah could be the case, but for the short term in my view. Dollar remains in a strong bullish trend.
MuathAlBulbul
When is that due?
Technician
In few days, check the economic calender
MuathAlBulbul
Lol, excuse my idiotic-ness. I am a bit new at this!
Technician
Dont worry
MuathAlBulbul
Mr. Loay, do you have any expectations for the NZD announcments for tomorrow? I am looking at both AUDNZD and NZDJPY.
Technician
Not really in terms of fundamentals. But watch for a dovish tone from the bank, or an unexpected rate cut. That would send the NZD down under.. Especially that there are lots of technical signs suggesting bearish NZD, but still needs confirmation.
MuathAlBulbul
I thought a rate cut is good for the currency, no? I read somewhere that money follows the lower interest rates.
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