Long AUD/USD: Buy at support

FX:AUDUSD   Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar
The AUD/USD bullish trend will continue for the next few weeks.

Reasons below support for a bullish breakout.

Buy at trend channel support ie 0.67640 | risk/reward ratio = 3

- Recovering domestic economic data ie good PMI's, strong consumer confidence, better than expected retail sales for May, lockdowns ending sooner than expected
- Rising commodity prices ie iron ore hitting $100/tonne, iron ore supply shortage in Brazil and Australia, copper prices up 20% from March low
- Strong demand for commodities ie China infrastructure spending accounting for 20-25% of steel demand, strong CAIXIN PMI's suggest rekindling of industrial demand
- Rate hold by RBA to appreciate AUD

- "Risk-on" sentiment ie plunging DXY , gold trending sideways, US10Y yield is up, major indices (US500, FTSE 100 , ASX 200 , Nikkei) rallying

- US riots ---> extend lockdown, could start second COVID-19 wave ---> devaluing USD
- US-China tensions ----> less demand for USD, risk losing phase-1 trade deal ------> devaluing USD
- Incoming hurricane ----> could impact shale industry meaning more unemployment resulting in deflation ----> devaluing USD
- Incoming economic data -----> weekly jobless claims to climb to 1.8 million, sluggish retail sales ------> devaluing USD

- 20 day MA crossover of both 50 day and 200 day
- 20 day MA now support
- Strong bullish upward trend channel
- RSI approaching oversold levels
- MACD yet to crossover
- Doji candle stick suggesting pullback

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