On the lower time frames the H4 is no longer behaving as normal for a downtrend (no sharp rejection on H4 of the 20 ) and the 60 has formed a W . Historically when this pair is trending strongly it does not consolidate around the moving average, normally see a pullback rise to the 20 followed by a one or two candle reversal away.
Fundamental factors: Uncertainty in markets over impact of US Tarrifs and a potential trade war. Upcoming RBA announcement of rates and Hawkish comments from Powell at the FED which may boost USD strength. Global uncertainty and sharemarket may see a push to gold which has somewhat of a corelation to the Aussie.