Sforex
Short

Aussie: Technical Analysis contributes to the downtrend.

FX:AUDUSD   Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar
271 1 3
I admire traders who BUY Aussie last week, they nearly were right after RBA Meeting, but unfortunately market reversed the trend so fast and the appetite for Aussie changed. Strong payrolls on Friday destroyed the hope to buy Aussie at low level, and we should abandon to buy AUDUSD             currently to talk about the SHORT.

Needless to say I believe that FED will hike rate on December and market would pricing for strong Dollar ahead the meeting. Last week, RBA disappointed market by keeping the rate at 2%, but it doesn't mean they will not cut rate anymore. I THINK THAT THEY WILL DO IN 2016. ONE MORE RATE CUT IS POSSIBLE AND 2% IS NOT THE FLOOR FOR RATE. The expectation of one more rate cut will drive Aussie lower.

Fundamental Analysis is suppporting for weak Aussie while Technical Analysis also reinforces for Fundamental.

Look at on the chart.

- A STANDARD HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN I RARELY SEE WHEN ANALIZE CHART. AUDUSD             broke the neckline of head and shoulder pattern, it means the downtrend is confirmative.

- 0.7200 is a strong resistance zone . AUDUSD             was unsuccessful to break the resistance zone and bounced from this level.

- The descending trend line: AUDUSD             also rejected this trend line . It also is SMA100

- AUDUSD             tried to move above Kumo cloud, but unfortunately it again moved under the cloud to confirm for downtrend.

With those TA signals, I have enough clues to go to a conclusion that: We should drive Aussie lower to the year low 0.6900 even break it .

I agree. Very good analysis.
Reply
United States
United Kingdom
India
España
France
Italia
Polska
Brasil
Россия
Türkiye
Indonesia
日本
한국
Home Stock Screener Forex Signal Finder Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators For the WEB Widgets Stock Charting Library Priority Support Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Private Messages Chat Ideas Published Followers Following Priority Support Public Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing Sign Out